Compendium › Reversion › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 8 trades in period

-2.45%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,831.54
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,103.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:41:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

8
+1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,384
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,103.96
Current Value
$10,831.54
Period P&L
$-272.42
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.71%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,311.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-272.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-272.42
Gross Return
-2.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,103.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET $120.33 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $117.57 0 $0.00 $10,850.04 $-253.92
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $122.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:15am ET $124.23 0 $0.00 $10,974.12 +$124.08
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $118.74 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $120.42 0 $0.00 $11,128.68 +$154.56
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.86 77 $11,000.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $145.10 77 $11,173.08 $11,301.54 +$172.86
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $143.93 78 $11,226.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.71 78 $10,585.38 $10,659.99 $-641.55
(-5.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $135.79 78 $10,591.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.41 $11,190.78 +$530.79
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 81 $11,175.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $133.95 81 $10,849.95 $10,865.16 $-325.62
(-2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 82 $10,810.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 82 $10,776.44 $10,831.54 $-33.62
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,831.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$831.54
Total Return: +8.32%
Back to Reversion