Compendium › Reversion › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 29 trades in period

-17.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,767.99
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$7,023.36
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,023.36
Current Value
$5,767.99
Period P&L
$-1,255.37
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
17 / 12
Best Trade
+9.02%
Worst Trade
-23.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,717.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,255.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,255.37
Gross Return
-17.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,023.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $72.64 95 $6,900.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $67.39 95 $6,402.05 $6,406.80 $-498.75
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.17 99 $6,352.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $68.31 99 $6,762.69 $6,816.66 +$409.86
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 101 $6,786.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 101 $7,129.08 $7,159.15 +$342.49
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.16 99 $7,143.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $77.15 99 $7,638.34 $7,653.64 +$494.49
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $85.36 89 $7,596.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 89 $8,018.90 $8,075.94 +$422.30
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.70 90 $8,073.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $83.39 90 $7,505.10 $7,508.04 $-567.90
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.45 88 $7,431.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 88 $6,349.00 $6,425.44 $-1,082.60
(-14.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.66 88 $6,394.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 88 $6,805.04 $6,836.02 +$410.58
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:25am ET $77.39 88 $6,810.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $81.29 88 $7,153.66 $7,179.41 +$343.39
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $75.97 94 $7,140.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $74.73 94 $7,024.62 $7,063.13 $-116.28
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.13 76 $7,001.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 76 $6,468.36 $6,529.61 $-533.52
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $86.17 75 $6,462.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $80.06 75 $6,004.50 $6,071.36 $-458.25
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $87.11 69 $6,010.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:00pm ET $91.59 69 $6,319.71 $6,380.48 +$309.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $98.93 64 $6,331.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:55am ET $104.20 64 $6,668.80 $6,717.44 +$336.96
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $105.79 63 $6,664.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $97.77 63 $6,159.51 $6,212.18 $-505.26
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $93.71 66 $6,184.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $98.90 66 $6,527.40 $6,554.72 +$342.54
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $101.14 64 $6,472.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $107.56 64 $6,883.84 $6,965.59 +$410.87
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $111.34 62 $6,903.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:40am ET $117.37 62 $7,276.94 $7,339.45 +$373.86
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $113.99 64 $7,295.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $105.93 64 $6,779.84 $6,823.93 $-515.52
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $99.97 68 $6,797.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $105.43 68 $7,168.90 $7,194.87 +$370.94
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $105.61 68 $7,181.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 68 $6,632.04 $6,645.77 $-549.10
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $113.99 64 $7,295.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 64 $5,587.84 $4,938.25 $-1,707.52
(-23.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $84.67 58 $4,910.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET $89.71 58 $5,203.18 $5,230.57 +$292.32
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $92.20 56 $5,163.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 56 $5,431.08 $5,498.47 +$267.90
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $97.85 56 $5,479.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $103.69 56 $5,806.64 $5,825.51 +$327.04
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $104.74 55 $5,760.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $110.26 55 $6,064.43 $6,129.52 +$304.01
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $107.72 56 $6,032.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.44 56 $6,576.64 $6,673.56 +$544.04
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $121.00 55 $6,655.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 55 $6,187.50 $6,206.06 $-467.50
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $112.58 55 $6,192.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $104.62 55 $5,754.10 $5,767.99 $-438.07
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,767.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,232.01
Total Return: -42.32%
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