Compendium › Reversion › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 18 trades in period

+4.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,319.21
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,847.42
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 20.6/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 16.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,847.42
Current Value
$10,319.21
Period P&L
$471.79
Max Drawdown
-3.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
10.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$347,845.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$471.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$471.79
Gross Return
+4.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,847.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $88.23 113 $9,969.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $87.08 113 $9,840.04 $9,890.36 $-129.95
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.71 115 $9,856.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.17 115 $10,139.55 $10,173.26 +$282.90
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $87.11 116 $10,104.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $83.87 116 $9,728.92 $9,798.00 $-375.26
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $83.50 117 $9,768.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.13 117 $9,258.21 $9,287.29 $-510.71
(-5.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $78.24 118 $9,231.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $77.07 118 $9,094.26 $9,149.82 $-137.47
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $78.17 117 $9,145.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $74.49 117 $8,715.33 $8,719.26 $-430.56
(-4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.84 118 $8,713.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $77.71 118 $9,169.19 $9,175.33 +$456.07
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $82.00 111 $9,102.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET $80.46 111 $8,930.51 $9,003.84 $-171.49
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $80.67 111 $8,953.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $81.45 111 $9,040.41 $9,090.43 +$86.59
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $80.67 111 $8,953.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $83.26 111 $9,241.86 $9,378.48 +$288.05
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $84.83 110 $9,331.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:05am ET $83.82 110 $9,219.67 $9,266.85 $-111.63
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $83.64 110 $9,200.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $87.96 110 $9,675.60 $9,742.05 +$475.20
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $84.83 110 $9,331.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $86.22 110 $9,484.20 $9,894.95 +$152.90
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $84.16 117 $9,846.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $87.86 117 $10,279.62 $10,327.85 +$432.90
(+4.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $88.71 116 $10,290.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $93.35 116 $10,828.60 $10,865.51 +$537.66
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $93.35 116 $10,828.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $90.14 116 $10,456.24 $10,493.15 $-372.36
(-3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $93.35 116 $10,828.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $92.20 116 $10,695.20 $10,359.75 $-133.40
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $92.93 111 $10,315.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.56 111 $10,274.69 $10,319.21 $-40.54
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,319.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$319.21
Total Return: +3.19%
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