Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:30:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
11.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 34.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-7.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,507
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-10 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,397.99
Current Value
$10,807.50
Period P&L
$-590.49
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$112,675.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-590.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-590.49
Gross Return
-5.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,397.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET $25.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:40am ET $25.38 0 $0.00 $11,544.00 +$146.01
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $25.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $25.42 0 $0.00 $11,306.46 $-237.54
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $25.89 0 $0.00 $11,432.67 +$126.21
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $26.35 433 $11,409.55
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $26.58 433 $11,509.14 $11,532.26 +$99.59
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $27.23 423 $11,518.29
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $27.47 423 $11,619.81 $11,633.78 +$101.52
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.24 412 $11,632.82
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $26.87 412 $11,070.44 $11,071.40 $-562.38
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.17 407 $11,060.22
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.09 407 $11,025.71 $11,036.89 $-34.51
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $26.45 417 $11,029.65
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $25.90 417 $10,800.26 $10,807.50 $-229.39
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,807.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$807.50
Total Return: +8.08%
Back to Reversion