Compendium › Reversion › PFE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PFE
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 16 trades in period

+5.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,914.54
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$11,267.89
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:46:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 44.0/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 35.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,267.89
Current Value
$11,914.54
Period P&L
$646.65
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.29%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$356,631.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$646.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$646.65
Gross Return
+5.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,267.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $27.23 423 $11,518.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $27.47 423 $11,619.81 $11,633.78 +$101.52
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.24 412 $11,632.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $26.87 412 $11,070.44 $11,071.40 $-562.38
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.17 407 $11,060.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.09 407 $11,025.71 $11,036.89 $-34.51
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $26.45 417 $11,029.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $25.90 417 $10,800.26 $10,807.50 $-229.39
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $25.94 416 $10,790.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 11:30am ET $25.81 416 $10,735.84 $10,753.21 $-54.29
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.88 415 $10,740.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.97 415 $10,775.48 $10,788.49 +$35.28
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $25.55 422 $10,781.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.21 422 $10,636.55 $10,643.79 $-144.70
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $24.83 428 $10,625.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $23.86 428 $10,212.04 $10,230.73 $-413.06
(-3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $23.96 426 $10,206.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $25.23 426 $10,746.96 $10,770.73 +$540.00
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET $25.20 427 $10,760.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET $24.83 427 $10,600.28 $10,610.60 $-160.13
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $23.96 426 $10,206.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $24.75 426 $10,544.10 $10,947.74 +$337.14
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $24.73 442 $10,930.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.98 442 $11,483.16 $11,500.24 +$552.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $26.38 435 $11,475.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $27.74 435 $12,066.90 $12,091.84 +$591.60
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 431 $12,068.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $27.68 431 $11,932.23 $11,956.07 $-135.77
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 431 $12,068.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $28.68 431 $12,363.23 $12,251.30 +$295.23
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $28.51 429 $12,230.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $27.73 429 $11,894.03 $11,914.54 $-336.76
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,914.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,914.54
Total Return: +19.15%
Back to Reversion