AAPL Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+48.67%
2 Years Return
$15,466.80
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$10,403.20
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
12.9/15
Profit Factor
13.7/15
Consistency
8.5/10
Raw Quality
84.6/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 69.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,196
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,403.20
Current Value
$15,466.80
Total P&L
$5,063.60
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
35
Winners / Losers
26 /
9
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-7.16%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$457,704.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,063.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,063.60
Gross Return
+48.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,403.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $222.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 1, 2024 10:05am ET | $224.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,517.74 |
+$114.54 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 1:50pm ET | $233.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,626.64 |
+$108.90 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $222.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $222.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,639.33 |
+$12.69 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $227.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $229.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,703.96 |
+$64.63 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $242.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 10:15am ET | $244.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,811.54 |
+$107.58 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $231.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 12:25pm ET | $234.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,932.35 |
+$120.81 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $227.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,699.47 |
$-232.88 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $220.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $222.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,819.47 |
+$120.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:00pm ET | $202.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,597.69 |
$-221.78 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $199.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,724.36 |
+$126.67 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $176.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $178.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,836.03 |
+$111.67 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $196.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:20pm ET | $192.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,616.03 |
$-220.00 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $193.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,827.41 |
+$211.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $206.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,976.89 |
+$149.48 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $207.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,094.06 |
+$117.17 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,182.20 |
+$88.14 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $267.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $269.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,247.02 |
+$64.82 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $255.15 | 44 | $11,226.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $253.34 | 44 | $11,146.96 | $11,167.38 |
$-79.64 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $253.61 | 44 | $11,158.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $248.65 | 44 | $10,940.60 | $10,949.14 |
$-218.24 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $245.54 | 44 | $10,803.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.05 | 44 | $11,354.42 | $11,499.80 |
+$550.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.11 | 44 | $11,268.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.88 | 44 | $11,786.50 | $12,017.46 |
+$517.66 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $271.85 | 44 | $11,961.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $271.83 | 44 | $11,960.52 | $12,016.58 |
$-0.88 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $280.91 | 42 | $11,798.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $292.90 | 42 | $12,301.80 | $12,520.16 |
+$503.58 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $297.68 | 42 | $12,502.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.40 | 42 | $12,994.80 | $13,012.40 |
+$492.24 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $310.22 | 41 | $12,719.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.77 | 41 | $12,659.57 | $12,952.95 |
$-59.45 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.05 | 43 | $12,902.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.60 | 43 | $12,796.80 | $12,847.60 |
$-105.35 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $295.73 | 43 | $12,716.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $274.57 | 43 | $11,806.30 | $11,937.29 |
$-910.31 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $280.88 | 42 | $11,796.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $295.64 | 42 | $12,417.09 | $12,557.42 |
+$620.13 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $312.53 | 40 | $12,501.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $328.17 | 40 | $13,126.80 | $13,183.02 |
+$625.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $329.64 | 39 | $12,855.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.55 | 39 | $13,086.26 | $13,413.32 |
+$230.30 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $312.53 | 40 | $12,501.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.57 | 40 | $13,302.88 | $14,215.00 |
+$801.68 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $302.38 | 47 | $14,211.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $306.49 | 47 | $14,405.03 | $14,408.17 |
+$193.17 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $305.87 | 47 | $14,375.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.42 | 47 | $14,448.74 | $14,481.02 |
+$72.85 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $311.09 | 46 | $14,310.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:50am ET | $326.88 | 46 | $15,036.48 | $15,207.36 |
+$726.34 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $328.94 | 46 | $15,131.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.58 | 46 | $15,390.68 | $15,466.80 |
+$259.44 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,466.80
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,466.80
Total Return:
+54.67%