BMY Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 40 trades executed
+24.51%
2 Years Return
$12,419.29
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,974.81
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
48.2/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 39.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,950
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,974.81
Current Value
$12,419.29
Total P&L
$2,444.48
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
24 /
13
Best Trade
+8.79%
Worst Trade
-7.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$400,639.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,444.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,444.48
Gross Return
+24.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,974.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:40am ET | $57.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 3:15pm ET | $55.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,772.10 |
$-202.71 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $58.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,921.52 |
+$149.42 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $54.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $55.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,087.14 |
+$165.62 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $59.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 12:05pm ET | $60.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,191.30 |
+$104.16 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 12:40pm ET | $55.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,984.30 |
$-207.00 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $54.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,214.94 |
+$230.64 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $51.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,319.46 |
+$104.52 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $48.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 10:15am ET | $48.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,431.29 |
+$111.83 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,626.20 |
+$194.91 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:50am ET | $49.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,760.74 |
+$134.54 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $48.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:20pm ET | $47.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,541.95 |
$-218.79 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $47.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,661.20 |
+$119.25 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $47.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $47.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,773.87 |
+$112.67 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $47.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,887.06 |
+$113.19 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $44.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,102.92 |
+$215.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $44.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $45.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,297.60 |
+$194.68 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,259.20 |
$-38.40 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $46.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:40am ET | $45.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,165.26 |
$-93.94 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,287.83 |
+$122.57 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.65 | 189 | $11,274.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $59.12 | 189 | $11,173.68 | $11,186.72 |
$-101.11 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.35 | 185 | $11,164.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.63 | 185 | $10,847.47 | $10,869.44 |
$-317.28 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.10 | 180 | $10,818.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.19 | 180 | $10,473.30 | $10,524.74 |
$-344.70 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.02 | 181 | $10,501.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.26 | 181 | $10,545.96 | $10,569.08 |
+$44.34 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $57.96 | 182 | $10,547.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $56.35 | 182 | $10,255.70 | $10,276.97 |
$-292.11 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $56.47 | 181 | $10,221.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $59.31 | 181 | $10,734.21 | $10,789.20 |
+$512.23 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.26 | 182 | $10,785.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.10 | 182 | $10,028.82 | $10,032.70 |
$-756.50 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $55.85 | 179 | $9,998.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.29 | 179 | $10,076.80 | $10,111.46 |
+$78.76 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 179 | $10,060.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.85 | 179 | $9,998.04 | $10,048.81 |
$-62.65 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 179 | $10,060.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 179 | $10,245.96 | $10,234.07 |
+$185.26 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $58.03 | 176 | $10,212.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.00 | 176 | $10,736.00 | $10,757.67 |
+$523.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $60.65 | 177 | $10,735.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $64.03 | 177 | $11,332.43 | $11,354.16 |
+$596.49 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $58.03 | 176 | $10,212.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.13 | 176 | $11,110.00 | $12,251.76 |
+$897.60 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $64.03 | 191 | $12,230.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $64.26 | 191 | $12,273.66 | $12,294.98 |
+$43.22 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.50 | 190 | $12,255.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.80 | 190 | $12,882.00 | $12,921.98 |
+$627.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.84 | 193 | $12,900.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.96 | 193 | $12,730.28 | $12,752.14 |
$-169.84 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.84 | 193 | $12,900.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $67.58 | 193 | $13,042.94 | $12,894.96 |
+$142.82 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $66.70 | 193 | $12,873.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $64.24 | 193 | $12,398.32 | $12,419.29 |
$-475.67 (-3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,419.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,419.29
Total Return:
+24.19%