ACN Reversion's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 33 trades in period
+22.05%
Year to Date Return
$11,349.33
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$9,298.59
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
27.3/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 24.2
30-Day Momentum
21
+3.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,484
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
184 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,298.59
Current Value
$11,349.33
Period P&L
$2,050.73
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
21 /
12
Best Trade
+6.71%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$458,794.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,050.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,050.73
Gross Return
+22.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.05%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 184 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,298.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $261.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $263.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,391.34 |
+$92.75 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $244.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,173.41 |
$-217.93 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $236.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,284.17 |
+$110.76 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $233.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $235.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,376.17 |
+$92.00 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $231.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,185.85 |
$-190.32 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $225.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $220.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,999.85 |
$-186.00 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.46 | 42 | $8,965.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $197.70 | 42 | $8,303.40 | $8,337.72 |
$-662.13 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $196.10 | 42 | $8,236.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $206.66 | 42 | $8,679.72 | $8,781.03 |
+$443.31 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $199.04 | 44 | $8,757.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET | $197.01 | 44 | $8,668.66 | $8,692.15 |
$-88.88 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $195.19 | 44 | $8,588.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $180.88 | 44 | $7,958.50 | $8,062.29 |
$-629.86 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $190.18 | 42 | $7,987.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.87 | 42 | $7,428.33 | $7,503.06 |
$-559.23 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.15 | 42 | $7,398.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $180.60 | 42 | $7,585.20 | $7,689.96 |
+$186.90 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $174.65 | 44 | $7,684.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.90 | 44 | $7,123.60 | $7,128.74 |
$-561.22 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $164.30 | 43 | $7,064.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $172.97 | 43 | $7,437.71 | $7,501.55 |
+$372.81 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $177.15 | 42 | $7,440.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $185.55 | 42 | $7,793.31 | $7,854.35 |
+$352.80 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $195.96 | 40 | $7,838.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.71 | 40 | $7,268.20 | $7,284.15 |
$-570.20 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $179.39 | 40 | $7,175.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $166.56 | 40 | $6,662.40 | $6,770.95 |
$-513.20 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $170.76 | 39 | $6,659.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $158.71 | 39 | $6,189.69 | $6,301.00 |
$-469.95 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.81 | 50 | $6,290.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.10 | 50 | $6,455.00 | $6,465.75 |
+$164.75 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.25 | 52 | $6,461.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $130.56 | 52 | $6,789.12 | $6,793.87 |
+$328.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.40 | 50 | $6,719.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.78 | 50 | $7,089.00 | $7,163.12 |
+$369.25 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.10 | 51 | $7,093.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.75 | 51 | $7,484.25 | $7,553.52 |
+$390.40 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $140.85 | 53 | $7,464.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.29 | 53 | $7,965.37 | $8,054.11 |
+$500.58 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $164.59 | 48 | $7,900.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $173.13 | 48 | $8,310.24 | $8,464.14 |
+$410.03 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.87 | 52 | $8,365.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.43 | 52 | $8,862.62 | $8,961.52 |
+$497.38 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.56 | 54 | $8,832.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $172.01 | 54 | $9,288.81 | $9,418.09 |
+$456.57 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $168.18 | 56 | $9,417.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.75 | 56 | $9,898.00 | $9,898.29 |
+$480.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.66 | 56 | $9,892.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $185.51 | 56 | $10,388.28 | $10,393.61 |
+$495.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.78 | 59 | $10,253.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $183.15 | 59 | $10,805.56 | $10,946.15 |
+$552.54 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $184.17 | 59 | $10,866.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.15 | 59 | $11,159.56 | $11,239.68 |
+$293.53 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $184.17 | 59 | $10,866.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $194.29 | 59 | $11,463.40 | $11,837.06 |
+$597.38 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $187.27 | 63 | $11,798.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $193.37 | 63 | $12,182.31 | $12,221.36 |
+$384.30 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $196.84 | 62 | $12,203.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:20pm ET | $182.77 | 62 | $11,331.74 | $11,349.33 |
$-872.03 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,349.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,349.33
Total Return:
+13.49%