AMC Reversion's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 56 trades in period
+45.97%
Year to Date Return
$10,902.72
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$7,469.02
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
23.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 23.0
30-Day Momentum
59
+23.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.4
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,295
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,469.02
Current Value
$10,902.72
Period P&L
$3,433.70
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
38 /
18
Best Trade
+42.63%
Worst Trade
-26.53%
Avg Trade Return
+1.11%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$610,586.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,433.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,433.70
Gross Return
+45.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+45.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,469.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,661.74 |
+$192.72 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,738.60 |
+$76.86 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,859.39 |
+$120.79 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,949.13 |
+$89.74 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,071.03 |
+$121.90 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,898.27 |
$-172.76 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,990.89 |
+$92.62 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,073.27 |
+$82.38 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,190.27 |
+$117.00 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,280.65 |
+$90.38 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,400.30 |
+$119.65 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $1.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,484.56 |
+$84.26 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,329.74 |
$-154.82 (-1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,422.98 |
+$93.24 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,230.83 |
$-192.15 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,362.22 |
+$131.39 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.19 | 7,027 | $8,362.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.10 | 7,027 | $7,729.00 | $7,729.09 |
$-633.13 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.09 | 7,090 | $7,728.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.01 | 7,090 | $7,160.90 | $7,161.89 |
$-567.20 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.01 | 7,090 | $7,160.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $0.9336 | 7,090 | $6,619.22 | $6,620.21 |
$-541.68 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.00 | 6,620 | $6,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.07 | 6,620 | $7,050.30 | $7,050.51 |
+$430.30 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.22 | 5,773 | $7,049.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.32 | 5,773 | $7,591.50 | $7,592.02 |
+$541.51 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.31 | 5,789 | $7,591.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.40 | 5,789 | $8,084.92 | $8,085.24 |
+$493.22 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.36 | 5,963 | $8,085.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.43 | 5,963 | $8,556.90 | $8,556.91 |
+$471.67 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.57 | 5,441 | $8,555.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.65 | 5,441 | $9,004.85 | $9,005.79 |
+$448.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.85 | 4,867 | $9,003.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 4,867 | $8,323.54 | $8,325.38 |
$-680.41 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.70 | 4,897 | $8,324.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.58 | 4,897 | $7,737.26 | $7,737.74 |
$-587.64 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.60 | 4,835 | $7,736.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.49 | 4,835 | $7,179.98 | $7,181.23 |
$-556.51 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.45 | 4,969 | $7,180.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.53 | 4,969 | $7,602.57 | $7,603.59 |
+$422.36 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.63 | 4,675 | $7,602.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.51 | 4,675 | $7,059.72 | $7,060.82 |
$-542.77 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.48 | 4,780 | $7,060.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.37 | 4,780 | $6,524.70 | $6,525.46 |
$-535.36 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.34 | 4,869 | $6,524.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.41 | 4,869 | $6,864.80 | $6,865.80 |
+$340.34 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.48 | 4,654 | $6,864.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.55 | 4,654 | $7,213.70 | $7,214.85 |
+$349.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.53 | 4,715 | $7,213.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.62 | 4,715 | $7,614.73 | $7,615.63 |
+$400.78 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.97 | 3,862 | $7,615.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.82 | 3,862 | $7,028.84 | $7,028.99 |
$-586.64 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.87 | 3,768 | $7,027.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.97 | 3,768 | $7,422.21 | $7,423.88 |
+$394.89 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.01 | 3,693 | $7,423.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.15 | 3,693 | $7,958.41 | $7,959.00 |
+$535.12 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $2.30 | 3,460 | $7,957.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $2.44 | 3,460 | $8,442.40 | $8,443.75 |
+$484.75 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $2.69 | 3,134 | $8,442.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $2.84 | 3,134 | $8,893.35 | $8,895.05 |
+$451.30 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $2.80 | 3,176 | $8,893.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.06 | 3,176 | $6,533.99 | $6,535.92 |
$-2,359.13 (-26.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $2.07 | 3,165 | $6,535.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.81 | 3,165 | $5,728.65 | $5,728.84 |
$-807.08 (-12.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $2.02 | 2,842 | $5,727.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $2.13 | 2,842 | $6,039.25 | $6,040.61 |
+$311.77 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.90 | 3,170 | $6,038.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.76 | 3,170 | $5,578.88 | $5,580.64 |
$-459.97 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.65 | 3,377 | $5,579.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.74 | 3,377 | $5,875.98 | $5,877.14 |
+$296.50 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.90 | 3,093 | $5,876.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $2.02 | 3,093 | $6,238.27 | $6,238.71 |
+$361.57 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.01 | 3,111 | $6,237.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.20 | 3,111 | $6,859.75 | $6,860.91 |
+$622.20 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $2.33 | 2,944 | $6,859.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.16 | 2,944 | $6,366.40 | $6,367.50 |
$-493.41 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.31 | 2,762 | $6,366.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $2.43 | 2,762 | $6,711.66 | $6,712.75 |
+$345.25 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.90 | 3,093 | $5,876.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.71 | 3,093 | $8,382.03 | $9,218.08 |
+$2,505.33 (+42.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $2.80 | 3,292 | $9,217.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2.60 | 3,292 | $8,559.20 | $8,559.68 |
$-658.40 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.51 | 3,408 | $8,558.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.64 | 3,408 | $9,014.16 | $9,015.67 |
+$455.99 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $2.53 | 3,563 | $9,014.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $2.34 | 3,563 | $8,337.42 | $8,338.70 |
$-676.97 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $2.52 | 3,308 | $8,336.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.67 | 3,308 | $8,848.90 | $8,851.11 |
+$512.41 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $2.52 | 3,308 | $8,336.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.65 | 3,308 | $8,782.74 | $9,297.36 |
+$446.25 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $2.64 | 3,521 | $9,295.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $2.79 | 3,521 | $9,814.79 | $9,816.71 |
+$519.35 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.54 | 3,864 | $9,814.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $2.67 | 3,864 | $10,325.77 | $10,327.92 |
+$511.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $2.69 | 3,832 | $10,327.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $2.85 | 3,832 | $10,902.04 | $10,902.72 |
+$574.80 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,902.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$902.72
Total Return:
+9.03%