Compendium › Reversion › GS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GS
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 25 trades in period

+5.05%
Year to Date Return
$11,470.36
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,919.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.2/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 26.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,919.21
Current Value
$11,470.36
Period P&L
$551.15
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
14 / 11
Best Trade
+6.43%
Worst Trade
-7.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$484,801.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$551.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$551.15
Gross Return
+5.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,919.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $926.06 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $928.81 0 $0.00 $10,949.46 +$30.25
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $910.54 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $922.00 0 $0.00 $11,086.98 +$137.52
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $882.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $893.27 0 $0.00 $11,212.08 +$125.10
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET $934.36 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:35am ET $915.63 0 $0.00 $11,006.05 $-206.03
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $883.36 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $896.10 0 $0.00 $11,158.93 +$152.88
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 13 $10,543.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $802.14 13 $10,427.79 $11,043.72 $-115.21
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $805.29 13 $10,468.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $847.45 13 $11,016.79 $11,591.73 +$548.01
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $834.11 13 $10,843.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $864.76 13 $11,241.88 $11,990.18 +$398.45
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $857.36 13 $11,145.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 13 $11,768.12 $12,612.62 +$622.44
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $903.37 13 $11,743.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $923.93 13 $12,011.09 $12,879.90 +$267.28
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.93 13 $12,037.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.53 13 $12,031.89 $12,874.70 $-5.20
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $933.73 13 $12,138.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $948.86 13 $12,335.24 $13,071.46 +$196.76
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $936.54 13 $12,175.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $986.22 13 $12,820.92 $13,717.36 +$645.90
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $999.36 13 $12,991.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,048.09 13 $13,625.17 $14,350.85 +$633.49
(+4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,066.91 13 $13,869.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,063.66 13 $13,827.58 $14,308.60 $-42.25
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,090.05 13 $14,170.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,027.10 13 $13,352.30 $13,490.25 $-818.35
(-5.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,090.05 13 $14,170.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.90 13 $13,635.70 $12,955.30 $-534.95
(-3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $1,043.68 12 $12,524.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $1,110.82 12 $13,329.84 $13,760.98 +$805.68
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $1,135.00 12 $13,620.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,054.91 12 $12,658.86 $12,799.84 $-961.14
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,080.60 11 $11,886.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $998.52 11 $10,983.72 $11,896.96 $-902.88
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $1,018.24 11 $11,200.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $1,070.68 11 $11,777.48 $12,473.75 +$576.79
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:45am ET $1,056.24 11 $11,618.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,041.88 11 $11,460.68 $12,315.79 $-157.96
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,040.00 11 $11,440.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,043.10 11 $11,474.12 $12,349.91 +$34.12
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.36 12 $12,340.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,022.04 12 $12,264.43 $12,274.02 $-75.89
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,028.77 11 $11,316.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $955.71 11 $10,512.81 $11,470.36 $-803.66
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,470.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,470.36
Total Return: +14.70%
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