Compendium › Reversion › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period

+11.36%
Year to Date Return
$11,253.37
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,105.07
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:48:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.8/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 31.3/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 24.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,797
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
187 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,105.07
Current Value
$11,253.37
Period P&L
$1,148.30
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+9.02%
Worst Trade
-7.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$375,453.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,148.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,148.30
Gross Return
+11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 187 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,105.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 41 $9,917.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $238.24 41 $9,767.84 $9,955.22 $-149.85
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $235.01 42 $9,870.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $242.02 42 $10,165.05 $10,249.85 +$294.63
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $244.26 41 $10,014.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $237.98 41 $9,757.18 $9,992.37 $-257.48
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 42 $9,856.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 42 $9,651.18 $9,787.41 $-204.96
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 43 $9,698.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $224.31 43 $9,645.33 $9,734.13 $-53.28
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $221.65 43 $9,531.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $226.62 43 $9,744.65 $9,947.61 +$213.48
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $229.25 43 $9,857.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $227.05 43 $9,763.15 $9,853.01 $-94.60
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 44 $9,787.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $233.57 44 $10,277.08 $10,342.51 +$489.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.28 43 $10,160.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $229.83 43 $9,882.69 $10,065.16 $-277.35
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $239.51 42 $10,059.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $251.92 42 $10,580.64 $10,586.38 +$521.22
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $239.51 42 $10,059.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $261.11 42 $10,966.41 $11,493.37 +$906.99
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $265.12 43 $11,400.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $246.24 43 $10,588.32 $10,681.53 $-811.84
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $249.38 42 $10,473.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $262.12 42 $11,009.04 $11,216.61 +$535.08
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $265.12 43 $11,400.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $259.59 43 $11,162.37 $10,978.82 $-237.79
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $253.64 43 $10,906.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $259.94 43 $11,177.42 $11,249.72 +$270.90
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $256.27 43 $11,019.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $270.27 43 $11,621.82 $11,852.15 +$602.43
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.35 43 $11,754.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $265.84 43 $11,431.20 $11,529.30 $-322.85
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $277.69 41 $11,385.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $270.96 41 $11,109.36 $11,253.37 $-275.93
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,253.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,253.37
Total Return: +12.53%
Back to Reversion