Compendium › Reversion › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

+9.37%
Year to Date Return
$12,540.18
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$11,466.33
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 42.1/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 39.2

30-Day Momentum

65
+35.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,997
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,466.33
Current Value
$12,540.18
Period P&L
$1,073.85
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-12.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$489,576.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,073.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,073.85
Gross Return
+9.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,466.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $629.51 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $621.08 0 $0.00 $11,314.59 $-151.74
(-1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $605.91 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $603.00 0 $0.00 $11,262.30 $-52.29
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $669.95 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $679.23 0 $0.00 $11,410.78 +$148.48
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $655.47 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $662.09 0 $0.00 $11,523.24 +$112.46
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $647.48 17 $11,007.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $631.76 17 $10,739.92 $11,256.00 $-267.24
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $623.94 18 $11,230.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $578.54 18 $10,413.81 $10,438.97 $-817.03
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $537.22 19 $10,207.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $565.61 19 $10,746.59 $10,978.38 +$539.41
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 19 $10,748.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 19 $11,514.00 $11,744.17 +$765.79
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $629.10 18 $11,323.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $663.20 18 $11,937.60 $12,357.97 +$613.80
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $671.12 18 $12,080.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $671.69 18 $12,090.42 $12,368.23 +$10.26
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $674.40 18 $12,139.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $617.33 18 $11,111.87 $11,340.99 $-1,027.24
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $609.52 18 $10,971.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $599.37 18 $10,788.66 $11,158.24 $-182.75
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $619.67 18 $11,154.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $609.60 18 $10,972.80 $10,976.98 $-181.26
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $629.76 17 $10,705.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $580.11 17 $9,861.87 $10,132.93 $-844.05
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $588.70 17 $10,007.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $571.28 17 $9,711.76 $9,836.79 $-296.14
(-3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $561.79 17 $9,550.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $601.16 17 $10,219.64 $10,505.91 +$669.12
(+7.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $561.79 17 $9,550.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $592.72 17 $10,076.24 $11,031.63 +$525.72
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $604.68 18 $10,884.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $661.98 18 $11,915.64 $12,063.03 +$1,031.40
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $662.18 18 $11,919.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $607.39 18 $10,933.02 $11,076.81 $-986.22
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $603.07 18 $10,855.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $526.29 18 $9,473.31 $9,694.86 $-1,381.95
(-12.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $582.48 16 $9,319.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $596.91 16 $9,550.51 $9,925.69 +$230.83
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $589.17 16 $9,426.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $547.73 16 $8,763.76 $9,262.65 $-663.04
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $550.03 16 $8,800.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $589.35 16 $9,429.68 $9,891.93 +$629.28
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $574.78 17 $9,771.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $616.27 17 $10,476.51 $10,597.17 +$705.24
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $607.66 17 $10,330.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $650.75 17 $11,062.75 $11,329.78 +$732.61
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $648.99 17 $11,032.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $682.84 17 $11,608.28 $11,905.23 +$575.45
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $662.53 17 $11,263.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $699.89 17 $11,898.05 $12,540.18 +$634.95
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,540.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,540.18
Total Return: +25.40%
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