Compendium › Reversion › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

-10.44%
Year to Date Return
$7,898.92
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$8,819.42
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 8.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.8%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,819.42
Current Value
$7,898.92
Period P&L
$-920.51
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-9.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$377,069.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-920.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-920.51
Gross Return
-10.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,819.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $41.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $40.71 0 $0.00 $8,637.10 $-182.32
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $43.18 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $43.65 0 $0.00 $8,730.10 +$93.00
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $43.93 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $44.37 0 $0.00 $8,817.22 +$87.12
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $45.54 0 $0.00 $8,838.56 +$21.34
(+0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $53.88 164 $8,835.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $56.71 164 $9,299.62 $9,302.68 +$464.12
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 162 $9,298.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $60.28 162 $9,764.91 $9,768.79 +$466.11
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $60.94 160 $9,751.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $64.20 160 $10,272.02 $10,289.61 +$520.82
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $66.37 155 $10,287.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $61.52 155 $9,535.60 $9,537.86 $-751.75
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $62.79 151 $9,481.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 151 $8,607.00 $8,663.57 $-874.29
(-9.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $59.79 144 $8,609.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 144 $8,004.24 $8,058.05 $-605.52
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $55.85 144 $8,041.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.51 144 $8,282.16 $8,298.53 +$240.48
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.53 141 $8,253.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $53.89 141 $7,598.49 $7,643.58 $-654.95
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $53.61 142 $7,612.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.32 142 $7,997.44 $8,028.40 +$384.82
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.72 136 $7,985.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.68 136 $7,844.48 $7,886.96 $-141.44
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $56.90 138 $7,852.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $59.84 138 $8,257.55 $8,292.31 +$405.35
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.23 140 $8,292.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 140 $7,686.70 $7,686.81 $-605.50
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.63 143 $7,669.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $50.79 143 $7,262.97 $7,280.69 $-406.12
(-5.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $50.82 143 $7,267.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.90 143 $6,992.70 $7,006.06 $-274.63
(-3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $53.92 129 $6,955.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.06 129 $6,973.74 $7,024.12 +$18.06
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $55.91 125 $6,988.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.79 125 $7,349.37 $7,384.75 +$360.62
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $53.92 129 $6,955.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $55.50 129 $7,159.50 $7,588.57 +$203.82
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $55.65 136 $7,568.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $58.47 136 $7,952.60 $7,972.77 +$384.20
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.85 135 $7,944.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $61.91 135 $8,357.85 $8,385.87 +$413.10
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $61.30 136 $8,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $60.62 136 $8,244.32 $8,293.39 $-92.48
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $61.30 136 $8,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $61.04 136 $8,301.44 $8,258.03 $-35.36
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.93 137 $8,210.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $61.72 137 $8,455.64 $8,503.26 +$245.23
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $63.20 134 $8,468.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $58.69 134 $7,864.46 $7,898.92 $-604.34
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,898.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,101.08
Total Return: -21.01%
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