Compendium › Reversion › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

-7.89%
Year to Date Return
$9,232.33
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$10,023.58
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:12

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,181
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,023.58
Current Value
$9,232.33
Period P&L
$-791.25
Max Drawdown
-2.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-6.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$317,928.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-791.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-791.25
Gross Return
-7.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,023.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 65 $9,985.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $151.39 65 $9,840.35 $9,878.30 $-145.28
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $152.78 64 $9,777.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.69 64 $9,132.16 $9,232.54 $-645.76
(-6.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $144.01 64 $9,216.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $145.64 64 $9,320.96 $9,337.18 +$104.64
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $144.43 64 $9,243.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $143.80 64 $9,203.20 $9,296.86 $-40.32
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.70 62 $9,157.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $147.43 62 $9,140.35 $9,279.81 $-17.05
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $146.40 63 $9,223.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $142.14 63 $8,954.82 $9,011.43 $-268.38
(-2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $142.76 63 $8,993.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $141.51 63 $8,915.13 $8,932.99 $-78.44
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $139.35 64 $8,918.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $146.41 64 $9,370.24 $9,384.83 +$451.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $145.10 64 $9,286.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $152.46 64 $9,757.12 $9,855.53 +$470.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:25am ET $151.17 65 $9,826.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.46 65 $9,649.58 $9,679.06 $-176.47
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:25am ET $151.17 65 $9,826.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $150.95 65 $9,811.43 $9,664.44 $-14.62
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $150.41 64 $9,626.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 64 $9,527.68 $9,565.88 $-98.56
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $150.41 64 $9,626.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $143.22 64 $9,166.08 $9,105.72 $-460.16
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $141.90 64 $9,081.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $145.25 64 $9,296.00 $9,320.12 +$214.40
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $145.15 64 $9,289.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $142.80 64 $9,139.20 $9,169.72 $-150.40
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $145.96 62 $9,049.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $147.30 62 $9,132.60 $9,252.49 +$82.77
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $146.54 63 $9,232.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $146.22 63 $9,211.86 $9,232.33 $-20.16
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,232.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-767.67
Total Return: -7.68%
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