ACN Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-18 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
-36.08%
2 Years Return
$6,301.00
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$9,856.95
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
14
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 19, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
7.3/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 6.2
30-Day Momentum
1
-16.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,456
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
507 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,856.95
Current Value
$6,301.00
Total P&L
$-3,555.95
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
19 /
21
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,896.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,555.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,555.95
Gross Return
-36.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 507 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,856.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $301.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2024 11:15am ET | $304.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,954.55 |
+$97.60 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $312.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET | $316.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,059.79 |
+$105.24 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 10:10am ET | $343.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2024 3:20pm ET | $336.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,858.24 |
$-201.55 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 9:40am ET | $352.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 9:40am ET | $345.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,660.33 |
$-197.91 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $351.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $354.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,742.95 |
+$82.62 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $360.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $360.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,730.53 |
$-12.42 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $377.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $368.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,512.78 |
$-217.75 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $345.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 10:10am ET | $349.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,618.62 |
+$105.84 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $299.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $292.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,413.98 |
$-204.64 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $306.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $297.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,123.58 |
$-290.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $279.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $287.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,394.14 |
+$270.56 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $289.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $283.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,185.66 |
$-208.48 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $278.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $281.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,284.54 |
+$98.88 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $311.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $315.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,410.11 |
+$125.57 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $313.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,536.26 |
+$126.15 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $283.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $286.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,653.74 |
+$117.48 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $286.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $289.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,760.00 |
+$106.26 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $260.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 3:00pm ET | $255.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,561.12 |
$-198.88 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $251.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $245.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,359.91 |
$-201.21 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $245.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $240.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,157.75 |
$-202.16 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $241.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $242.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,200.67 |
+$42.92 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $268.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $270.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,298.59 |
+$97.92 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $261.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $263.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,391.34 |
+$92.75 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $244.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,173.41 |
$-217.93 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $236.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,284.17 |
+$110.76 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $233.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $235.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,376.17 |
+$92.00 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $231.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,185.85 |
$-190.32 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $225.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $220.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,999.85 |
$-186.00 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.46 | 42 | $8,965.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $197.70 | 42 | $8,303.40 | $8,337.72 |
$-662.13 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $196.10 | 42 | $8,236.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $206.66 | 42 | $8,679.72 | $8,781.03 |
+$443.31 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $199.04 | 44 | $8,757.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET | $197.01 | 44 | $8,668.66 | $8,692.15 |
$-88.88 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $195.19 | 44 | $8,588.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $180.88 | 44 | $7,958.50 | $8,062.29 |
$-629.86 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $190.18 | 42 | $7,987.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.87 | 42 | $7,428.33 | $7,503.06 |
$-559.23 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.15 | 42 | $7,398.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $180.60 | 42 | $7,585.20 | $7,689.96 |
+$186.90 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $174.65 | 44 | $7,684.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.90 | 44 | $7,123.60 | $7,128.74 |
$-561.22 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $164.30 | 43 | $7,064.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $172.97 | 43 | $7,437.71 | $7,501.55 |
+$372.81 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $177.15 | 42 | $7,440.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $185.55 | 42 | $7,793.31 | $7,854.35 |
+$352.80 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $195.96 | 40 | $7,838.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.71 | 40 | $7,268.20 | $7,284.15 |
$-570.20 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $179.39 | 40 | $7,175.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $166.56 | 40 | $6,662.40 | $6,770.95 |
$-513.20 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $170.76 | 39 | $6,659.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $158.71 | 39 | $6,189.69 | $6,301.00 |
$-469.95 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,301.00
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,699.00
Total Return:
-36.99%