BAC Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 45 trades executed
+20.89%
2 Years Return
$13,180.62
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,903.28
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
44.4/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 37.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-8.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
59,033
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,903.28
Current Value
$13,180.62
Total P&L
$2,277.34
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
34
Winners / Losers
20 /
14
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-7.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$467,920.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,277.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,277.34
Gross Return
+20.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,903.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $45.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,013.68 |
+$110.40 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $42.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,772.72 |
$-240.96 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $41.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,885.85 |
+$113.13 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $39.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,654.51 |
$-231.34 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 10:10am ET | $41.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $40.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,439.47 |
$-215.04 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $37.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,218.42 |
$-221.05 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $34.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,981.26 |
$-237.16 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:15pm ET | $34.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $35.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,084.87 |
+$103.61 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $35.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,870.04 |
$-214.83 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $39.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,970.84 |
+$100.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,964.33 |
$-6.51 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $50.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,067.33 |
+$103.00 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $52.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 12:25pm ET | $52.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,184.45 |
+$117.12 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,193.14 |
+$8.69 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $52.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,347.78 |
+$154.64 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.48 | 213 | $10,326.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.35 | 213 | $10,085.55 | $10,107.09 |
$-240.69 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $47.31 | 213 | $10,078.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $47.12 | 213 | $10,035.50 | $10,064.49 |
$-42.60 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $47.19 | 213 | $10,051.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.65 | 213 | $10,574.39 | $10,587.41 |
+$522.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.61 | 217 | $10,548.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.94 | 217 | $11,270.98 | $11,310.02 |
+$722.61 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.47 | 215 | $11,281.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.60 | 215 | $11,525.07 | $11,554.04 |
+$244.02 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.95 | 214 | $11,545.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.78 | 214 | $11,509.99 | $11,518.73 |
$-35.31 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $52.13 | 220 | $11,469.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $50.35 | 220 | $11,077.00 | $11,126.03 |
$-392.70 (-3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $50.39 | 220 | $11,085.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $50.96 | 220 | $11,211.20 | $11,251.43 |
+$125.40 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $51.51 | 218 | $11,229.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $54.10 | 218 | $11,793.78 | $11,816.01 |
+$564.58 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.81 | 219 | $11,783.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.78 | 219 | $12,435.91 | $12,468.63 |
+$652.62 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.73 | 219 | $12,423.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $57.92 | 219 | $12,685.57 | $12,730.33 |
+$261.70 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.73 | 219 | $12,423.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.51 | 219 | $13,032.69 | $13,339.15 |
+$608.82 (+4.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.46 | 224 | $13,319.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.01 | 224 | $13,666.24 | $13,686.35 |
+$347.20 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.46 | 224 | $13,319.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.24 | 224 | $13,717.76 | $14,085.07 |
+$398.72 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $61.83 | 227 | $14,034.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $64.93 | 227 | $14,737.98 | $14,788.77 |
+$703.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.95 | 231 | $14,773.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.96 | 231 | $14,312.76 | $14,328.32 |
$-460.45 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.95 | 231 | $14,773.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.53 | 231 | $14,444.43 | $13,999.54 |
$-328.78 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.75 | 226 | $13,955.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.52 | 226 | $14,129.52 | $14,173.56 |
+$174.02 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.94 | 228 | $14,123.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $57.59 | 228 | $13,130.52 | $13,180.62 |
$-992.94 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,180.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,180.62
Total Return:
+31.81%