Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-18 01:08:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
22
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.43%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.29%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.6
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 17, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 17.1

30-Day Momentum

23
+3.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.0 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,955
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-18 → 2026-06-17
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,236.97
Total P&L
$236.97
Max Drawdown
-2.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+3.21%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,576.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$236.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$236.97
Gross Return
+2.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $412.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 2:15pm ET $417.07 0 $0.00 $10,099.96 +$99.96
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET $440.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2024 9:35am ET $442.09 0 $0.00 $10,125.04 +$25.08
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:35am ET $458.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 11:15am ET $463.57 0 $0.00 $10,244.83 +$119.79
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $518.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET $505.41 0 $0.00 $10,001.44 $-243.39
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $465.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $474.00 0 $0.00 $10,176.58 +$175.14
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $484.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $490.66 0 $0.00 $10,306.28 +$129.70
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $510.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 11:25am ET $516.39 0 $0.00 $10,420.98 +$114.70
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $459.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $463.88 0 $0.00 $10,520.06 +$99.08
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $497.08 21 $10,438.68
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $493.57 21 $10,364.97 $10,446.35 $-73.71
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $490.21 21 $10,294.51
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $471.69 21 $9,905.49 $10,057.33 $-389.02
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET $479.11 20 $9,582.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $478.37 20 $9,567.40 $10,042.53 $-14.80
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $478.12 21 $10,040.52
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $469.52 21 $9,859.92 $9,861.93 $-180.60
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $473.94 20 $9,478.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $475.08 20 $9,501.50 $9,884.63 +$22.70
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $476.85 20 $9,537.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $487.20 20 $9,744.00 $10,091.63 +$207.00
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $483.40 20 $9,668.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $474.77 20 $9,495.40 $9,919.03 $-172.60
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $470.96 21 $9,890.16
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $486.10 21 $10,208.10 $10,236.97 +$317.94
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,236.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$236.97
Total Return: +2.37%
Back to Reversion