CMCSA Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 46 trades executed
+6.14%
2 Years Return
$10,759.82
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,136.97
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
28.3/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 23.9
30-Day Momentum
1
-10.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,955
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,136.97
Current Value
$10,759.82
Total P&L
$622.86
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
38
Winners / Losers
23 /
15
Best Trade
+13.01%
Worst Trade
-7.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$475,138.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$622.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$622.86
Gross Return
+6.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,136.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 9:35am ET | $42.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:50am ET | $41.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,918.57 |
$-218.40 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $34.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,065.05 |
+$146.48 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $35.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $35.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,215.20 |
+$150.15 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $34.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,010.75 |
$-204.45 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $33.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,345.15 |
+$334.40 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $33.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $33.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,250.29 |
$-94.86 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,420.42 |
+$170.13 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $33.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,200.74 |
$-219.68 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:05am ET | $31.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $31.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,245.96 |
+$45.22 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $26.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,348.76 |
+$102.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $26.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,469.04 |
+$120.28 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $26.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 12:20pm ET | $27.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,579.91 |
+$110.87 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $27.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:40pm ET | $27.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,688.27 |
+$108.36 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,817.25 |
+$128.98 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $31.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $31.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,935.23 |
+$117.98 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.26 | 349 | $10,911.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $30.25 | 349 | $10,558.99 | $10,582.74 |
$-352.49 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $30.42 | 347 | $10,554.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $28.41 | 347 | $9,856.54 | $9,885.27 |
$-697.47 (-6.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.81 | 343 | $9,880.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.25 | 343 | $9,688.04 | $9,693.19 |
$-192.08 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $27.89 | 347 | $9,677.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $29.28 | 347 | $10,161.89 | $10,177.26 |
+$484.07 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.95 | 339 | $10,154.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $31.46 | 339 | $10,664.47 | $10,686.98 |
+$509.72 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $28.30 | 377 | $10,667.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.94 | 377 | $10,158.26 | $10,178.03 |
$-508.95 (-4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.39 | 385 | $10,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.54 | 385 | $9,447.90 | $9,465.78 |
$-712.25 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $25.17 | 375 | $9,440.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.32 | 375 | $9,495.00 | $9,520.16 |
+$54.38 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $25.42 | 374 | $9,508.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.51 | 374 | $8,794.61 | $8,805.82 |
$-714.34 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $23.51 | 374 | $8,793.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.50 | 374 | $9,163.00 | $9,174.88 |
+$369.06 (+4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.91 | 383 | $9,157.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.19 | 383 | $8,498.77 | $8,516.12 |
$-658.76 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.25 | 382 | $8,501.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.15 | 382 | $9,607.30 | $9,622.01 |
+$1,105.89 (+13.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.25 | 382 | $8,501.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.61 | 382 | $9,019.02 | $10,139.62 |
+$517.61 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.29 | 435 | $10,131.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.62 | 435 | $10,709.70 | $10,718.17 |
+$578.55 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.49 | 456 | $10,709.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.63 | 456 | $9,863.28 | $9,872.29 |
$-845.88 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $23.11 | 427 | $9,870.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.34 | 427 | $10,393.18 | $10,395.36 |
+$523.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.46 | 443 | $10,392.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.77 | 443 | $10,973.11 | $10,975.69 |
+$580.33 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $24.42 | 449 | $10,966.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.66 | 449 | $11,519.10 | $11,527.96 |
+$552.27 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $25.86 | 445 | $11,507.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.03 | 445 | $12,028.35 | $12,048.61 |
+$520.65 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $25.86 | 445 | $11,507.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.24 | 445 | $12,121.80 | $12,662.71 |
+$614.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.72 | 473 | $12,638.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.32 | 473 | $12,450.97 | $12,475.12 |
$-187.59 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.11 | 477 | $12,454.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $24.25 | 477 | $11,564.87 | $11,585.52 |
$-889.60 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $25.15 | 460 | $11,569.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $23.35 | 460 | $10,743.30 | $10,759.82 |
$-825.70 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,759.82
Net Profit/Loss:
+$759.82
Total Return:
+7.60%