CSCO Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 33 trades executed
+31.25%
2 Years Return
$13,068.16
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$9,956.37
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
50.1/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 40.8
30-Day Momentum
6
-1.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
527 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,956.37
Current Value
$13,068.16
Total P&L
$3,111.80
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
19 /
10
Best Trade
+17.49%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
+1.07%
Avg Hold Time
6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$546,097.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,111.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,111.80
Gross Return
+31.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 527 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,956.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 10:45am ET | $59.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,742.84 |
$-213.53 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $58.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,548.05 |
$-194.79 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $53.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,689.23 |
+$141.18 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $55.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $56.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,802.33 |
+$113.10 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 12:50pm ET | $66.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,597.89 |
$-204.44 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 1:40pm ET | $68.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,695.16 |
+$97.27 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $72.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $73.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,795.57 |
+$100.41 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $77.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,587.87 |
$-207.70 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.75 | 121 | $9,528.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.96 | 121 | $9,554.76 | $9,614.49 |
+$26.62 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:55pm ET | $78.79 | 122 | $9,612.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $82.91 | 122 | $10,115.01 | $10,116.51 |
+$502.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.37 | 127 | $10,079.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $83.42 | 127 | $10,594.34 | $10,630.86 |
+$514.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $82.28 | 129 | $10,614.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $86.83 | 129 | $11,201.07 | $11,217.81 |
+$586.95 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $89.75 | 124 | $11,129.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.39 | 124 | $11,332.36 | $11,420.55 |
+$202.74 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.14 | 121 | $11,390.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.91 | 121 | $11,968.11 | $11,997.72 |
+$577.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $100.05 | 119 | $11,905.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.55 | 119 | $13,988.45 | $14,080.22 |
+$2,082.50 (+17.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.66 | 122 | $13,988.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $120.41 | 122 | $14,690.02 | $14,781.72 |
+$701.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $119.22 | 123 | $14,664.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.54 | 123 | $15,442.03 | $15,559.69 |
+$777.97 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.47 | 123 | $15,555.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $117.13 | 123 | $14,406.99 | $14,410.87 |
$-1,148.82 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.34 | 122 | $14,315.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.60 | 122 | $14,591.20 | $14,686.89 |
+$276.02 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.52 | 123 | $14,578.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.05 | 123 | $13,905.64 | $14,014.29 |
$-672.60 (-4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.98 | 124 | $14,009.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $118.70 | 124 | $14,718.80 | $14,723.57 |
+$709.28 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.05 | 123 | $14,643.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $110.47 | 123 | $13,587.81 | $13,668.23 |
$-1,055.34 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $112.14 | 121 | $13,569.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $114.70 | 121 | $13,878.70 | $13,977.38 |
+$309.16 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $114.61 | 121 | $13,867.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $120.45 | 121 | $14,574.45 | $14,684.02 |
+$706.64 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $121.06 | 121 | $14,648.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.74 | 121 | $13,519.94 | $13,555.70 |
$-1,128.32 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $111.49 | 121 | $13,489.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $109.43 | 121 | $13,241.03 | $13,307.04 |
$-248.66 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $111.49 | 121 | $13,489.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.58 | 121 | $13,501.18 | $13,318.54 |
+$11.50 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $111.87 | 119 | $13,312.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.29 | 119 | $13,004.92 | $13,010.93 |
$-307.61 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $109.45 | 118 | $12,915.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.93 | 118 | $12,972.33 | $13,068.16 |
+$57.23 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,068.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,068.16
Total Return:
+30.68%