CVX Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 35 trades executed
+5.55%
2 Years Return
$10,703.03
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,140.23
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
21.7/100
× Confidence 0.80
= 17.4
30-Day Momentum
53
+13.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
8.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.2
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,521
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,140.23
Current Value
$10,703.03
Total P&L
$562.80
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
15 /
15
Best Trade
+7.49%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$362,282.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$562.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$562.80
Gross Return
+5.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,140.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $151.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,909.56 |
$-230.67 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:25pm ET | $153.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $150.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,700.60 |
$-208.96 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $160.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 2:05pm ET | $156.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,508.00 |
$-192.60 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $147.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,314.59 |
$-193.41 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $139.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $140.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,416.23 |
+$101.64 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $138.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,224.83 |
$-191.40 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $134.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $135.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,314.94 |
+$90.11 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $135.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $137.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,428.50 |
+$113.56 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $138.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,438.02 |
+$9.52 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $155.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $152.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,287.72 |
$-150.30 (-1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.87 | 49 | $9,156.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $196.45 | 49 | $9,626.06 | $9,757.15 |
+$469.43 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $196.05 | 49 | $9,606.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.91 | 49 | $10,138.59 | $10,289.05 |
+$531.90 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $205.12 | 50 | $10,256.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.69 | 50 | $9,934.50 | $9,967.55 |
$-321.50 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $202.16 | 49 | $9,905.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $187.73 | 49 | $9,198.77 | $9,260.48 |
$-707.07 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $190.33 | 48 | $9,135.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $187.73 | 48 | $9,011.01 | $9,135.65 |
$-124.83 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $188.34 | 48 | $9,040.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $181.60 | 48 | $8,716.80 | $8,812.13 |
$-323.52 (-3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $184.34 | 47 | $8,663.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $194.05 | 47 | $9,120.35 | $9,268.73 |
+$456.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $194.31 | 47 | $9,132.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $180.50 | 47 | $8,483.50 | $8,619.66 |
$-649.07 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $185.85 | 46 | $8,549.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $189.86 | 46 | $8,733.56 | $8,804.12 |
+$184.46 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $186.82 | 47 | $8,780.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.66 | 47 | $8,162.02 | $8,185.44 |
$-618.68 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $175.76 | 46 | $8,085.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.09 | 46 | $7,732.14 | $7,832.39 |
$-353.05 (-4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $177.27 | 44 | $7,799.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.69 | 44 | $8,214.36 | $8,247.02 |
+$414.63 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.12 | 44 | $8,189.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.60 | 44 | $8,650.40 | $8,708.14 |
+$461.12 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $177.27 | 44 | $7,799.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.55 | 44 | $8,384.04 | $9,292.45 |
+$584.31 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.60 | 47 | $9,146.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.43 | 47 | $9,138.21 | $9,284.46 |
$-7.99 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $200.22 | 46 | $9,210.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $203.49 | 46 | $9,360.77 | $9,435.11 |
+$150.65 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $200.22 | 46 | $9,210.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.48 | 46 | $9,129.85 | $9,354.84 |
$-80.27 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.24 | 46 | $9,165.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $209.68 | 46 | $9,645.28 | $9,835.08 |
+$480.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.24 | 46 | $9,165.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $212.82 | 46 | $9,789.49 | $10,459.53 |
+$624.45 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $208.71 | 50 | $10,435.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $213.58 | 50 | $10,679.00 | $10,703.03 |
+$243.50 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,703.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$703.03
Total Return:
+7.03%