GOOGL Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 66 trades executed
+14.01%
2 Years Return
$12,054.50
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,572.74
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
11.7/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality
46.2/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 42.4
30-Day Momentum
46
+9.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
4.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.9
Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,572.74
Current Value
$12,054.50
Total P&L
$1,481.75
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
36 /
15
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-9.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$601,333.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,481.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,481.75
Gross Return
+14.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,572.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $170.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 10:00am ET | $166.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,343.25 |
$-229.49 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $188.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $192.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,592.68 |
+$249.43 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $185.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 10:10am ET | $187.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,699.26 |
+$106.58 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $187.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $190.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,820.22 |
+$120.96 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $195.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,928.02 |
+$107.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $192.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,081.53 |
+$153.51 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $186.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $187.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,141.24 |
+$59.71 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $168.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,268.54 |
+$127.30 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $161.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $157.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,032.56 |
$-235.98 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $150.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 11:20am ET | $152.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,159.89 |
+$127.33 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,932.13 |
$-227.76 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $143.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,051.53 |
+$119.40 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $148.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $150.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,167.71 |
+$116.18 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $147.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,304.21 |
+$136.50 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $156.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $158.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,451.09 |
+$146.88 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $157.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $154.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,221.05 |
$-230.04 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $163.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $165.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,340.05 |
+$119.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $168.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 1:15pm ET | $169.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,453.28 |
+$113.23 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $210.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,566.06 |
+$112.78 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $245.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,710.82 |
+$144.76 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $246.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $249.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,860.00 |
+$149.18 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $278.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,098.56 |
+$238.56 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $279.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,840.77 |
$-257.79 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $294.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,990.97 |
+$150.20 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $325.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,138.60 |
+$147.63 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $328.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $332.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,290.16 |
+$151.56 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $322.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,593.58 |
+$303.42 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $320.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $323.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,736.32 |
+$142.74 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $315.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $318.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,890.44 |
+$154.12 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.99 | 43 | $12,727.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $311.03 | 43 | $13,374.29 | $13,537.16 |
+$646.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $303.88 | 44 | $13,370.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.70 | 44 | $13,319.02 | $13,485.46 |
$-51.70 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.99 | 45 | $13,454.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.69 | 45 | $12,496.16 | $12,526.98 |
$-958.48 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $273.29 | 45 | $12,298.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $287.08 | 45 | $12,918.60 | $13,147.53 |
+$620.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $297.88 | 44 | $13,106.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.42 | 44 | $14,098.70 | $14,139.51 |
+$991.98 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.90 | 44 | $13,899.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $332.33 | 44 | $14,622.52 | $14,862.21 |
+$722.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $339.69 | 43 | $14,606.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.92 | 43 | $16,078.56 | $16,334.10 |
+$1,471.89 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $380.07 | 42 | $15,962.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $399.77 | 42 | $16,790.34 | $17,161.50 |
+$827.40 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $393.79 | 43 | $16,932.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.53 | 43 | $17,007.79 | $17,236.32 |
+$74.82 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $392.64 | 43 | $16,883.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $381.02 | 43 | $16,383.86 | $16,736.45 |
$-499.88 (-3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.14 | 44 | $16,549.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $351.89 | 44 | $15,483.16 | $15,669.67 |
$-1,066.78 (-6.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $360.35 | 43 | $15,495.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $347.61 | 43 | $14,947.02 | $15,121.64 |
$-548.03 (-3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $348.79 | 43 | $14,997.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.50 | 43 | $15,544.50 | $15,668.17 |
+$546.53 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $368.70 | 42 | $15,485.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $341.74 | 42 | $14,353.08 | $14,535.64 |
$-1,132.53 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $355.49 | 40 | $14,219.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.29 | 40 | $12,851.60 | $13,167.44 |
$-1,368.20 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $368.70 | 42 | $15,485.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.84 | 42 | $13,979.28 | $11,661.11 |
$-1,506.33 (-9.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.05 | 31 | $11,409.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $342.27 | 31 | $10,610.37 | $10,861.77 |
$-799.34 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $344.38 | 31 | $10,675.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.78 | 31 | $10,781.18 | $10,967.31 |
+$105.54 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $344.38 | 31 | $10,675.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.58 | 31 | $10,743.98 | $11,035.65 |
+$68.34 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.12 | 32 | $10,883.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.79 | 32 | $10,745.28 | $10,897.09 |
$-138.56 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.05 | 32 | $10,593.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $347.61 | 32 | $11,123.68 | $11,427.33 |
+$530.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $344.51 | 33 | $11,368.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $363.51 | 33 | $11,995.98 | $12,054.50 |
+$627.17 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,054.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,054.50
Total Return:
+20.54%