LLY Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 75 trades executed
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency
Market Closed (21 days)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Trade Statistics
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,558.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $885.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $878.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,483.80 |
$-75.08 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $791.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2024 9:35am ET | $773.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,243.85 |
$-239.95 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:45am ET | $781.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $789.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,351.17 |
+$107.32 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $763.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 3:40pm ET | $747.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,143.10 |
$-208.07 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $727.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $725.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,115.99 |
$-27.11 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:00am ET | $806.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 10:00am ET | $808.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,134.83 |
+$18.84 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $769.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $745.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,833.29 |
$-301.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $882.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 11:40am ET | $863.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,634.13 |
$-199.16 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $847.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 3:05pm ET | $830.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,445.46 |
$-188.67 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $801.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $810.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,547.64 |
+$102.18 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $797.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 10:05am ET | $808.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,662.87 |
+$115.23 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $762.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $745.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,460.85 |
$-202.02 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $698.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $683.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,263.70 |
$-197.15 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $706.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 10:55am ET | $691.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,068.83 |
$-194.87 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $739.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $747.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,160.15 |
+$91.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $830.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 1:35pm ET | $814.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,976.51 |
$-183.64 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $833.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $842.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,060.91 |
+$84.40 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $802.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 12:40pm ET | $785.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,869.95 |
$-190.96 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $759.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:50am ET | $742.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,682.02 |
$-187.93 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $730.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 1:40pm ET | $716.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,520.49 |
$-161.53 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $763.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $790.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,814.03 |
+$293.54 (+3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $773.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 1:35pm ET | $781.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,903.30 |
+$89.27 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 10:50am ET | $775.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $783.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,991.33 |
+$88.03 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $760.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $768.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,081.31 |
+$89.98 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $661.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $645.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,878.51 |
$-202.80 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $630.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $636.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,967.83 |
+$89.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:55am ET | $725.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $724.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,958.05 |
$-9.78 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $794.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:10pm ET | $802.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,054.14 |
+$96.09 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $914.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $924.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,141.44 |
+$87.30 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,068.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $1,079.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,230.08 |
+$88.64 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,054.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,066.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,328.32 |
+$98.24 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,048.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,062.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,446.12 |
+$117.80 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,046.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,023.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,234.39 |
$-211.73 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,066.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,077.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,320.71 |
+$86.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,003.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,090.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,101.55 |
+$780.84 (+8.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,024.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,890.63 |
$-210.92 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $967.49 | 10 | $9,674.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $983.49 | 10 | $9,834.90 | $10,050.63 |
+$160.00 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $922.11 | 10 | $9,221.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $888.80 | 10 | $8,888.00 | $9,717.53 |
$-333.10 (-3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.00 | 10 | $9,400.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $934.65 | 10 | $9,346.51 | $9,664.04 |
$-53.49 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $921.77 | 10 | $9,217.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $900.42 | 10 | $9,004.20 | $9,450.54 |
$-213.50 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $879.47 | 10 | $8,794.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $923.97 | 10 | $9,239.70 | $9,895.54 |
+$445.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $965.03 | 10 | $9,650.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $985.80 | 10 | $9,858.00 | $10,103.19 |
+$207.65 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,016.47 | 9 | $9,148.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1,068.00 | 9 | $9,612.00 | $10,566.96 |
+$463.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,067.00 | 9 | $9,603.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,124.73 | 9 | $10,122.57 | $11,086.53 |
+$519.57 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,072.56 | 10 | $10,725.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,126.33 | 10 | $11,263.30 | $11,624.18 |
+$537.65 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,151.39 | 10 | $11,513.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,129.82 | 10 | $11,298.22 | $11,408.50 |
$-215.68 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1,127.08 | 10 | $11,270.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,192.35 | 10 | $11,923.50 | $12,061.15 |
+$652.65 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1,127.08 | 10 | $11,270.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,202.36 | 10 | $12,023.60 | $12,813.90 |
+$752.75 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,230.67 | 10 | $12,306.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,140.21 | 10 | $11,402.10 | $11,909.30 |
$-904.60 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,145.76 | 10 | $11,457.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,204.61 | 10 | $12,046.05 | $12,497.75 |
+$588.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,230.67 | 10 | $12,306.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,180.99 | 10 | $11,809.95 | $12,001.00 |
$-496.75 (-4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,145.00 | 10 | $11,450.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,204.69 | 10 | $12,046.90 | $12,597.90 |
+$596.90 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,162.92 | 10 | $11,629.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,221.20 | 10 | $12,212.00 | $13,180.75 |
+$582.85 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,217.55 | 10 | $12,175.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,283.53 | 10 | $12,835.30 | $13,840.55 |
+$659.80 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,251.06 | 11 | $13,761.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,157.50 | 11 | $12,732.50 | $12,811.39 |
$-1,029.16 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,251.06 | 11 | $13,761.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $1,154.23 | 11 | $12,696.58 | $11,746.31 |
$-1,065.08 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,141.00 | 10 | $11,410.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,142.25 | 10 | $11,422.50 | $11,758.81 |
+$12.50 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 58 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,133.94 | 10 | $11,339.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,193.59 | 10 | $11,935.90 | $12,355.31 |
+$596.50 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |