META Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 57 trades executed
+7.57%
2 Years Return
$11,340.99
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$10,542.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
35.0/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 30.8
30-Day Momentum
19
+3.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,542.50
Current Value
$11,340.99
Total P&L
$798.49
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
50
Winners / Losers
33 /
17
Best Trade
+7.12%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,290.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$798.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$798.49
Gross Return
+7.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,542.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2024 9:45am ET | $463.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 10:15am ET | $469.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,661.52 |
+$119.02 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:45am ET | $495.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2024 12:05pm ET | $500.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,769.44 |
+$107.92 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $495.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 12, 2024 10:00am ET | $501.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,888.93 |
+$119.49 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $474.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 12:35pm ET | $464.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,670.03 |
$-218.90 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $473.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 2:40pm ET | $463.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,437.27 |
$-232.76 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 10:00am ET | $448.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 10:25am ET | $452.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,546.40 |
+$109.13 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 11:05am ET | $502.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 2:25pm ET | $492.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,344.60 |
$-201.80 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:05am ET | $480.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 11:20am ET | $486.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,470.81 |
+$126.21 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $459.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $465.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,610.05 |
+$139.24 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:40am ET | $577.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 1:30pm ET | $565.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,395.13 |
$-214.92 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $555.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET | $561.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,506.67 |
+$111.54 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $600.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 10:55am ET | $606.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,610.88 |
+$104.21 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:55pm ET | $580.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $595.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,882.05 |
+$271.17 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $608.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 11:00am ET | $615.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,994.29 |
+$112.24 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $602.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $598.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,924.09 |
$-70.20 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $682.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 11:35am ET | $689.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,038.17 |
+$114.08 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $650.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 12:45pm ET | $656.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,142.49 |
+$104.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $644.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $652.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,271.52 |
+$129.03 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $637.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $644.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,381.60 |
+$110.08 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $612.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 1:35pm ET | $620.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,512.37 |
+$130.77 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $605.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $589.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,206.47 |
$-305.90 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $606.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:55am ET | $593.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,975.71 |
$-230.76 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $589.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $577.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,760.61 |
$-215.10 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $555.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $561.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,878.37 |
+$117.76 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $546.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 12:10pm ET | $552.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,986.06 |
+$107.69 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $510.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $515.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,106.85 |
+$120.79 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $488.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $495.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,273.38 |
+$166.53 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $564.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 11:25am ET | $551.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,030.75 |
$-242.63 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $529.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 10:40am ET | $536.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,171.25 |
+$140.50 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:55pm ET | $498.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,949.07 |
$-222.18 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $492.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 11:30am ET | $482.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,728.30 |
$-220.77 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $537.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:40pm ET | $544.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,860.08 |
+$131.78 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $758.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $763.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,932.93 |
+$72.85 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $765.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $760.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,861.81 |
$-71.12 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $716.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $722.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,940.37 |
+$78.56 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $696.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $705.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,067.57 |
+$127.20 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $710.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $719.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,200.17 |
+$132.60 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $660.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $669.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,351.58 |
+$151.41 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $607.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET | $614.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,466.33 |
+$114.75 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $629.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $621.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,314.59 |
$-151.74 (-1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $605.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $603.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,262.30 |
$-52.29 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $669.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $679.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,410.78 |
+$148.48 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $655.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $662.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,523.24 |
+$112.46 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $647.48 | 17 | $11,007.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $631.76 | 17 | $10,739.92 | $11,256.00 |
$-267.24 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $623.94 | 18 | $11,230.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $578.54 | 18 | $10,413.81 | $10,438.97 |
$-817.03 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $537.22 | 19 | $10,207.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $565.61 | 19 | $10,746.59 | $10,978.38 |
+$539.41 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.70 | 19 | $10,748.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 19 | $11,514.00 | $11,744.17 |
+$765.79 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $629.10 | 18 | $11,323.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $663.20 | 18 | $11,937.60 | $12,357.97 |
+$613.80 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $671.12 | 18 | $12,080.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $671.69 | 18 | $12,090.42 | $12,368.23 |
+$10.26 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $674.40 | 18 | $12,139.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.33 | 18 | $11,111.87 | $11,340.99 |
$-1,027.24 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,340.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,340.99
Total Return:
+13.41%