Compendium › Squeeze Monday › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Squeeze Monday's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+36.00%
2 Years Return
$14,279.90
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$10,500.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
59.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
58.7/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,500.02
Current Value
$14,279.90
Total P&L
$3,779.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.91

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+14.02%
Worst Trade
-7.29%
Avg Trade Return
+6.61%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,590.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,779.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,779.88
Gross Return
+36.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Squeeze Monday had $10,500.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $165.30 64 $10,500.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $181.94 64 $11,557.01 $11,557.01 +$1,056.99
(+10.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $179.33 64 $11,557.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $166.25 64 $10,714.30 $10,714.30 $-842.71
(-7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:45am ET $177.49 60 $10,714.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $192.32 60 $11,609.85 $11,609.85 +$895.55
(+8.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $186.31 62 $11,609.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $200.98 62 $12,524.34 $12,524.34 +$914.49
(+7.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:00am ET $203.75 61 $12,524.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $232.31 61 $14,279.90 $14,279.90 +$1,755.56
(+14.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,279.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,279.90
Total Return: +42.80%
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