Compendium › Surge PRO › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+12.11%
Last Month Return
$20,416.17
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$18,211.01
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.3/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 54.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 53.2

30-Day Momentum

31
+16.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,211.01
Current Value
$20,416.17
Period P&L
$2,205.15
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+12.86%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+4.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$150,629.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,205.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,205.15
Gross Return
+12.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,211.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 101 $17,461.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $193.68 101 $19,562.18 $19,687.13 +$2,100.50
(+12.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 106 $19,618.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $177.50 106 $18,815.00 $18,883.65 $-803.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.03 100 $18,803.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 100 $18,017.86 $18,098.51 $-785.14
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 107 $18,016.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $190.04 107 $20,334.32 $20,416.17 +$2,317.66
(+12.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,416.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,416.17
Total Return: +104.16%
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