Compendium › Surge PRO › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-12.37%
Last Month Return
$14,609.21
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$16,672.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 28.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-12.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,672.21
Current Value
$14,609.21
Period P&L
$-2,063.00
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-18.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-4.04%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
-4.33%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,435.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,063.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,063.00
Gross Return
-12.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,672.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $148.10 112 $16,587.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:10am ET $142.12 112 $15,917.44 $16,002.45 $-669.76
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 95 $15,936.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET $160.49 95 $15,247.02 $15,313.22 $-689.23
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 93 $15,225.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $156.15 93 $14,521.95 $14,609.21 $-704.01
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,609.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,609.21
Total Return: +46.09%
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