Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+11.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,311.73
Current Value
$22,685.71
Period P&L
$2,373.98
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+13.12%
Worst Trade
-4.50%
Avg Trade Return
+2.58%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,765.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,373.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,373.98
Gross Return
+11.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $20,311.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $119.81 169 $20,247.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET $114.42 169 $19,337.62 $19,401.38 $-910.35
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $123.49 157 $19,387.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $118.34 157 $18,579.38 $18,593.61 $-807.77
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $111.18 167 $18,567.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.77 167 $21,003.59 $21,030.14 +$2,436.53
(+13.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.43 195 $20,948.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $102.78 195 $20,041.13 $20,122.42 $-907.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $117.22 171 $20,044.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $132.21 171 $22,607.91 $22,685.71 +$2,563.29
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,685.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,685.71
Total Return: +126.86%
Back to Surge PRO