COIN Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 41 trades in period
+32.27%
Last Year Return
$20,416.17
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$15,435.16
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
27.3/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
54.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 53.2
30-Day Momentum
31
+16.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.5
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,437
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,435.16
Current Value
$20,416.17
Period P&L
$4,981.01
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
19 /
22
Best Trade
+13.81%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,630.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,981.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,981.01
Gross Return
+32.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,435.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $311.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $325.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,130.04 |
+$694.88 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $331.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $332.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,189.08 |
+$59.04 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:20pm ET | $346.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $363.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,975.43 |
+$786.35 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 1:40pm ET | $369.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:55am ET | $379.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,406.98 |
+$431.55 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $383.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $383.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,408.87 |
+$1.89 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $351.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 1:40pm ET | $348.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,234.67 |
$-174.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $324.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $345.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,339.56 |
+$1,104.89 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $348.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $358.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,846.92 |
+$507.36 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $367.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $361.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,520.52 |
$-326.40 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET | $350.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 1:15pm ET | $346.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,300.89 |
$-219.63 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:10pm ET | $317.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $305.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,640.82 |
$-660.07 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $302.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,455.72 |
+$814.90 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $288.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:00pm ET | $285.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,251.03 |
$-204.69 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET | $250.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $257.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,716.87 |
+$465.84 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $264.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $275.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,444.17 |
+$727.30 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $275.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $276.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,477.07 |
+$32.90 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $280.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:00pm ET | $277.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,252.82 |
$-224.25 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $276.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $265.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,455.79 |
$-797.03 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $236.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $254.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,826.25 |
+$1,370.46 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $255.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $252.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,577.16 |
$-249.09 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $244.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $251.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,117.96 |
+$540.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $252.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $260.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,705.72 |
+$587.76 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $241.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $228.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,668.29 |
$-1,037.43 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $162.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $161.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,467.41 |
$-200.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $166.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $164.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,258.03 |
$-209.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.25 | 94 | $19,199.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $195.57 | 94 | $18,383.58 | $18,442.11 |
$-815.92 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.68 | 90 | $18,331.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $195.29 | 90 | $17,576.10 | $17,687.01 |
$-755.10 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.45 | 107 | $17,596.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 107 | $19,788.58 | $19,879.44 |
+$2,192.43 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.26 | 110 | $19,828.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.16 | 110 | $22,567.60 | $22,618.44 |
+$2,739.00 (+13.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 110 | $22,459.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $194.87 | 110 | $21,435.15 | $21,593.79 |
$-1,024.65 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.50 | 112 | $21,559.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.99 | 112 | $20,495.44 | $20,529.43 |
$-1,064.36 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.72 | 131 | $20,399.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $175.91 | 131 | $23,044.21 | $23,174.32 |
+$2,644.89 (+13.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.60 | 135 | $23,030.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.28 | 135 | $21,772.80 | $21,916.79 |
$-1,257.53 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.41 | 131 | $21,800.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $159.45 | 131 | $20,887.95 | $21,004.38 |
$-912.41 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.03 | 126 | $20,919.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.23 | 126 | $19,558.35 | $19,642.95 |
$-1,361.43 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 112 | $19,476.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $166.80 | 112 | $18,681.32 | $18,847.47 |
$-795.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.34 | 114 | $18,734.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.28 | 114 | $17,473.92 | $17,586.63 |
$-1,260.84 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.89 | 101 | $17,461.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $193.68 | 101 | $19,562.18 | $19,687.13 |
+$2,100.50 (+12.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.08 | 106 | $19,618.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $177.50 | 106 | $18,815.00 | $18,883.65 |
$-803.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.03 | 100 | $18,803.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.18 | 100 | $18,017.86 | $18,098.51 |
$-785.14 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.38 | 107 | $18,016.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $190.04 | 107 | $20,334.32 | $20,416.17 |
+$2,317.66 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,416.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,416.17
Total Return:
+104.16%