HOOD Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 42 trades in period
-7.12%
Last Year Return
$14,647.12
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$15,770.31
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
30.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 30.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,289
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,770.31
Current Value
$14,647.12
Period P&L
$-1,123.19
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
13 /
29
Best Trade
+14.64%
Worst Trade
-7.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$419,805.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,123.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,123.19
Gross Return
-7.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,770.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $132.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:40pm ET | $136.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,183.92 |
+$413.61 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $143.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $141.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,941.10 |
$-242.82 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 1:05pm ET | $144.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $148.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,352.48 |
+$411.38 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:05pm ET | $149.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $147.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,128.49 |
$-223.99 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $148.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $150.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,260.79 |
+$132.30 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 3:30pm ET | $151.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $150.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,086.91 |
$-173.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $138.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:25pm ET | $137.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,909.48 |
$-177.43 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $134.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $141.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,705.87 |
+$796.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:30pm ET | $147.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,519.95 |
$-185.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 3:20pm ET | $147.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $146.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,315.15 |
$-204.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $140.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $144.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,771.02 |
+$455.87 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $126.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:50pm ET | $130.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,257.45 |
+$486.43 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $124.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $123.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,031.68 |
$-225.77 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $114.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $123.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,470.60 |
+$1,438.92 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $127.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $123.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,848.43 |
$-622.17 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:45pm ET | $128.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:45pm ET | $126.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,628.49 |
$-219.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $132.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:45am ET | $136.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,124.99 |
+$496.50 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $136.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $135.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,941.51 |
$-183.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $137.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET | $136.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,756.26 |
$-185.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $138.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:15pm ET | $137.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,562.98 |
$-193.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $121.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $121.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,625.62 |
+$62.64 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $115.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $120.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,272.99 |
+$647.37 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $121.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $120.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,068.85 |
$-204.14 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $117.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $115.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,856.33 |
$-212.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $119.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $118.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,636.85 |
$-219.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $109.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $107.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,429.95 |
$-206.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $83.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $82.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,233.39 |
$-196.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $88.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,039.39 |
$-194.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.08 | 226 | $16,968.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.61 | 226 | $16,183.86 | $16,255.17 |
$-784.22 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.05 | 225 | $16,211.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 225 | $15,466.50 | $15,510.42 |
$-744.75 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.20 | 217 | $15,450.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.19 | 217 | $14,581.10 | $14,641.12 |
$-869.30 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.96 | 190 | $14,623.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $73.46 | 190 | $13,956.45 | $13,974.22 |
$-666.90 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.24 | 185 | $13,919.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $84.42 | 185 | $15,617.70 | $15,672.52 |
+$1,698.30 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 173 | $15,587.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.38 | 173 | $14,943.74 | $15,028.96 |
$-643.56 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.26 | 174 | $15,008.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.89 | 174 | $17,205.99 | $17,226.42 |
+$2,197.46 (+14.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $107.56 | 160 | $17,209.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $99.82 | 160 | $15,971.20 | $15,988.02 |
$-1,238.40 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.43 | 151 | $15,919.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $101.16 | 151 | $15,275.16 | $15,344.01 |
$-644.01 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.23 | 157 | $15,265.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $93.29 | 157 | $14,646.53 | $14,725.43 |
$-618.58 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.98 | 151 | $14,644.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 151 | $14,020.76 | $14,101.68 |
$-623.75 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.05 | 139 | $14,045.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $96.26 | 139 | $13,380.83 | $13,436.56 |
$-665.12 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.44 | 114 | $13,388.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.50 | 114 | $12,825.00 | $12,873.40 |
$-563.16 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.90 | 117 | $12,858.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.06 | 117 | $14,632.02 | $14,647.12 |
+$1,773.72 (+13.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,647.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,647.12
Total Return:
+46.47%