MU Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 47 trades in period
+87.20%
Last Year Return
$31,555.46
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$16,856.87
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
3.3/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
68.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 68.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,628
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$16,856.87
Current Value
$31,555.46
Period P&L
$14,698.59
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
25 /
22
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+1.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,260,443.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,698.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,698.59
Gross Return
+87.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+87.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,856.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $180.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 12:45pm ET | $184.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,309.76 |
+$452.89 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $196.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $190.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,771.23 |
$-538.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $192.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $184.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,056.96 |
$-714.27 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:10pm ET | $193.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $191.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,894.93 |
$-162.03 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 2:55pm ET | $208.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $203.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,521.01 |
$-373.92 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $198.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $205.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,058.43 |
+$537.42 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $207.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $217.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,834.59 |
+$776.16 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $219.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $220.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,947.07 |
+$112.48 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:55pm ET | $220.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 2:40pm ET | $222.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,065.65 |
+$118.58 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:20pm ET | $224.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:55am ET | $230.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,506.45 |
+$440.80 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $227.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $222.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,085.61 |
$-420.84 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET | $223.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $235.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,989.25 |
+$903.64 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 1:00pm ET | $244.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $235.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,399.78 |
$-589.47 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $239.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $253.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,425.06 |
+$1,025.28 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:20pm ET | $240.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $233.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,879.38 |
$-545.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $247.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET | $252.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,248.74 |
+$369.36 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $289.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $294.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,579.18 |
+$330.44 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $309.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $317.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,079.58 |
+$500.40 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $335.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $344.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,570.68 |
+$491.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $341.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $344.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,774.40 |
+$203.72 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $383.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $392.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,263.49 |
+$489.09 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $414.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $427.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,913.89 |
+$650.40 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $437.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $433.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,696.04 |
$-217.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $442.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $437.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,476.78 |
$-219.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $395.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $383.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,832.27 |
$-644.51 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $411.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $429.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,660.99 |
+$828.72 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 46 | $20,540.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 46 | $19,504.00 | $19,624.15 |
$-1,036.84 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 56 | $19,503.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 56 | $23,194.36 | $23,314.83 |
+$3,690.68 (+18.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 53 | $23,108.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $489.45 | 53 | $25,940.59 | $26,147.42 |
+$2,832.59 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.80 | 52 | $25,781.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $558.87 | 52 | $29,061.24 | $29,427.06 |
+$3,279.64 (+12.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 48 | $29,249.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $692.23 | 48 | $33,226.83 | $33,404.13 |
+$3,977.07 (+13.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $811.00 | 41 | $33,251.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 41 | $30,002.16 | $30,155.21 |
$-3,248.92 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $732.61 | 41 | $30,037.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $822.46 | 41 | $33,720.86 | $33,838.86 |
+$3,683.65 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.96 | 35 | $33,458.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $914.05 | 35 | $31,991.92 | $32,372.18 |
$-1,466.68 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $956.39 | 33 | $31,560.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,073.82 | 33 | $35,436.06 | $36,247.37 |
+$3,875.19 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 38 | $35,653.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $889.70 | 38 | $33,808.60 | $34,402.09 |
$-1,845.28 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.02 | 32 | $33,760.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,194.01 | 32 | $38,208.16 | $38,849.61 |
+$4,447.52 (+13.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 31 | $38,072.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,138.24 | 31 | $35,285.44 | $36,062.55 |
$-2,787.06 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.49 | 35 | $35,122.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 35 | $32,114.95 | $33,055.18 |
$-3,007.37 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 32 | $32,397.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 32 | $30,776.96 | $31,435.02 |
$-1,620.16 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $977.69 | 32 | $31,286.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $933.53 | 32 | $29,873.00 | $30,021.98 |
$-1,413.04 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.08 | 32 | $29,794.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $892.26 | 32 | $28,552.32 | $28,779.90 |
$-1,242.08 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.58 | 31 | $28,444.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $871.53 | 31 | $27,017.58 | $27,352.66 |
$-1,427.24 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $861.74 | 31 | $26,713.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $967.45 | 31 | $29,990.95 | $30,629.67 |
+$3,277.01 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,000.00 | 30 | $30,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.26 | 30 | $28,717.80 | $29,347.47 |
$-1,282.20 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $946.35 | 31 | $29,336.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $905.93 | 31 | $28,083.83 | $28,094.45 |
$-1,253.02 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.18 | 29 | $27,700.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,074.53 | 29 | $31,161.23 | $31,555.46 |
+$3,461.01 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$31,555.46
Net Profit/Loss:
+$21,555.46
Total Return:
+215.55%