Compendium › Surge PRO › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 31 trades in period

+17.23%
Last Year Return
$19,360.65
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$16,515.59
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:19:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 64.4/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,100
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,515.59
Current Value
$19,360.65
Period P&L
$2,845.06
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
15 / 16
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,683.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,845.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,845.06
Gross Return
+17.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,515.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $178.29 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 1:55pm ET $176.38 0 $0.00 $16,339.88 $-175.71
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $185.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $187.67 0 $0.00 $16,493.43 +$153.55
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 1:35pm ET $187.83 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 2:05pm ET $188.86 0 $0.00 $16,582.65 +$89.22
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET $184.19 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET $180.47 0 $0.00 $16,247.85 $-334.80
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 1:10pm ET $182.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 1:40pm ET $185.38 0 $0.00 $16,535.31 +$287.46
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $186.68 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 12:55pm ET $191.47 0 $0.00 $16,957.21 +$421.90
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET $196.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 3:05pm ET $201.57 0 $0.00 $17,423.53 +$466.32
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $210.99 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $208.66 0 $0.00 $17,232.88 $-190.65
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $201.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $198.96 0 $0.00 $17,059.06 $-173.82
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $186.59 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $195.29 0 $0.00 $17,850.69 +$791.63
(+4.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $196.63 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET $193.33 0 $0.00 $17,553.53 $-297.16
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $188.86 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $186.62 0 $0.00 $17,347.44 $-206.09
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $175.67 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET $180.34 0 $0.00 $17,805.10 +$457.66
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $179.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $185.12 0 $0.00 $18,372.86 +$567.76
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:20pm ET $183.67 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $181.70 0 $0.00 $18,175.36 $-197.50
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $187.46 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $185.33 0 $0.00 $17,971.36 $-204.00
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $181.03 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $177.24 0 $0.00 $17,596.15 $-375.21
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $177.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $174.12 0 $0.00 $17,225.73 $-370.42
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.99 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET $185.28 0 $0.00 $17,632.81 +$407.08
(+2.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $188.02 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET $191.58 0 $0.00 $17,963.89 +$331.08
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $186.78 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.89 0 $0.00 $17,782.44 $-181.45
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.81 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $180.97 0 $0.00 $17,323.08 $-459.36
(-2.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $181.44 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET $185.98 0 $0.00 $17,754.38 +$431.30
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $189.23 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.74 0 $0.00 $17,987.81 +$233.43
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $188.13 0 $0.00 $17,803.10 $-184.71
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $184.74 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $190.88 0 $0.00 $18,392.06 +$588.96
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 99 $18,275.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $207.10 99 $20,502.41 $20,619.06 +$2,227.00
(+12.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $210.11 98 $20,590.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 98 $19,628.42 $19,656.70 $-962.36
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $208.99 94 $19,645.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $200.46 94 $18,842.78 $18,854.42 $-802.28
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $198.21 95 $18,830.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.06 95 $18,055.70 $18,079.70 $-774.72
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
29.3d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.95 85 $18,015.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $227.02 85 $19,296.70 $19,360.65 +$1,280.95
(+7.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,360.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,360.65
Total Return: +93.61%
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