ORCL Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 36 trades in period
-25.93%
Last Year Return
$14,609.21
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$19,723.01
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
28.4/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 27.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-12.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$19,723.01
Current Value
$14,609.21
Period P&L
$-5,113.80
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
12 /
24
Best Trade
+12.58%
Worst Trade
-15.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$480,341.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,113.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,113.80
Gross Return
-25.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,723.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $289.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $286.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,516.97 |
$-206.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $289.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $297.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,005.40 |
+$488.43 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $297.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $305.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,549.78 |
+$544.38 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $280.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $284.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,815.86 |
+$266.08 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $262.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $258.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,507.76 |
$-308.10 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $250.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $240.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,705.86 |
$-801.90 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $225.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $222.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,484.88 |
$-220.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $196.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:40pm ET | $194.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,248.70 |
$-236.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $201.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $208.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,869.05 |
+$620.35 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $206.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $211.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,413.37 |
+$544.32 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $213.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:30pm ET | $216.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,694.38 |
+$281.01 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:20pm ET | $223.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $190.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,604.09 |
$-3,090.29 (-15.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $194.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:15pm ET | $199.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,054.54 |
+$450.45 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 1:45pm ET | $189.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,217.87 |
$-836.67 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $198.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $192.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,757.34 |
$-460.53 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $194.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $194.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,745.02 |
$-12.32 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $197.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $203.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,260.78 |
+$515.76 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $204.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $201.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,082.70 |
$-178.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $190.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $183.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,426.77 |
$-655.93 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $177.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $175.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,251.51 |
$-175.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $157.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $161.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,666.60 |
+$415.09 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $162.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $160.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,496.27 |
$-170.33 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.00 | 99 | $16,434.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $159.23 | 99 | $15,763.28 | $15,825.55 |
$-670.72 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 104 | $15,704.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $144.91 | 104 | $15,070.64 | $15,192.19 |
$-633.36 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.59 | 91 | $15,159.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $187.07 | 91 | $17,023.82 | $17,056.33 |
+$1,864.14 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.95 | 94 | $16,915.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $172.48 | 94 | $16,213.12 | $16,354.15 |
$-702.18 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.35 | 98 | $16,302.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.99 | 98 | $18,325.02 | $18,376.87 |
+$2,022.72 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.33 | 88 | $18,333.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $234.54 | 88 | $20,639.52 | $20,683.35 |
+$2,306.48 (+12.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.20 | 94 | $20,510.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.23 | 94 | $19,667.63 | $19,840.18 |
$-843.17 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.22 | 129 | $19,765.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.50 | 129 | $18,898.58 | $18,973.38 |
$-866.80 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.90 | 131 | $18,850.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $137.85 | 131 | $18,058.35 | $18,180.83 |
$-792.55 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.20 | 148 | $18,085.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $117.00 | 148 | $17,316.00 | $17,411.23 |
$-769.60 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.13 | 113 | $17,303.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $146.59 | 113 | $16,564.67 | $16,672.21 |
$-739.02 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.10 | 112 | $16,587.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $142.12 | 112 | $15,917.44 | $16,002.45 |
$-669.76 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.75 | 95 | $15,936.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $160.49 | 95 | $15,247.02 | $15,313.22 |
$-689.23 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.72 | 93 | $15,225.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.15 | 93 | $14,521.95 | $14,609.21 |
$-704.01 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,609.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,609.21
Total Return:
+46.09%