PLTR Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 36 trades in period
-0.14%
Last Year Return
$20,461.82
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$20,490.53
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
20.8/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
47.8/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 45.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$20,490.53
Current Value
$20,461.82
Period P&L
$-28.71
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
11 /
25
Best Trade
+13.95%
Worst Trade
-6.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$355,889.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-28.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-28.71
Gross Return
-0.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $20,490.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $180.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:40pm ET | $178.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,255.49 |
$-235.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $182.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $184.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,552.97 |
+$297.48 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 2:45pm ET | $185.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $182.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,302.11 |
$-250.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $182.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $179.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,969.82 |
$-332.29 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $180.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $185.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,480.22 |
+$510.40 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:30pm ET | $191.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:20pm ET | $189.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,272.45 |
$-207.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 1:35pm ET | $197.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $194.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,997.48 |
$-274.97 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $207.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $193.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,655.88 |
$-1,341.60 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $176.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $190.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,155.96 |
+$1,500.08 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $192.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $190.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,933.40 |
$-222.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $175.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $171.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,503.43 |
$-429.97 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $162.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $166.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,009.83 |
+$506.40 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $166.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,809.30 |
$-200.53 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $168.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $175.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,595.54 |
+$786.24 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $174.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $176.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,901.30 |
+$305.76 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $181.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $180.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,857.60 |
$-43.70 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $188.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $181.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,105.49 |
$-752.11 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $186.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $182.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,724.57 |
$-380.92 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $186.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $184.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,498.82 |
$-225.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $187.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $185.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,297.58 |
$-201.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET | $192.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:35pm ET | $193.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,350.58 |
+$53.00 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $179.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $184.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,866.32 |
+$515.74 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $185.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $183.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,635.24 |
$-231.08 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $169.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $168.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,543.24 |
$-92.00 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $136.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $135.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,325.98 |
$-217.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $144.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $143.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,123.81 |
$-202.17 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 123 | $19,036.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 123 | $18,250.74 | $18,338.46 |
$-785.35 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 125 | $18,218.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $139.86 | 125 | $17,482.50 | $17,602.21 |
$-736.25 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 122 | $17,561.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $137.81 | 122 | $16,812.82 | $16,853.13 |
$-749.08 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.30 | 113 | $16,757.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $142.31 | 113 | $16,081.43 | $16,176.66 |
$-676.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.50 | 123 | $16,051.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $125.12 | 123 | $15,389.76 | $15,514.92 |
$-661.74 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.83 | 132 | $15,421.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.35 | 132 | $17,338.86 | $17,432.22 |
+$1,917.30 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.79 | 132 | $17,396.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $126.42 | 132 | $16,687.44 | $16,723.38 |
$-708.84 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.78 | 131 | $16,608.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.46 | 131 | $18,924.26 | $19,039.46 |
+$2,316.08 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 118 | $18,934.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $179.78 | 118 | $21,214.04 | $21,319.22 |
+$2,279.76 (+12.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.41 | 120 | $21,289.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $170.26 | 120 | $20,431.80 | $20,461.82 |
$-857.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,461.82
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,461.82
Total Return:
+104.62%