Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+11.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,452
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,187.38
Current Value
$22,685.71
Period P&L
$7,719.52
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
29 / 40
Best Trade
+15.15%
Worst Trade
-14.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,045,752.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,719.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,719.52
Gross Return
+50.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,187.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:05pm ET $34.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET $34.15 0 $0.00 $14,966.19 $-221.19
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $33.76 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 1:30pm ET $33.97 0 $0.00 $15,059.53 +$93.34
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $34.52 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $36.14 0 $0.00 $15,765.94 +$706.41
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $36.68 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET $39.01 0 $0.00 $16,763.37 +$997.43
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET $41.31 0 $0.00 $16,164.55 $-598.82
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET $36.69 0 $0.00 $14,034.90 $-2,129.65
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:30pm ET $39.29 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $38.56 0 $0.00 $13,774.29 $-260.61
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $38.60 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $38.03 0 $0.00 $13,571.37 $-202.92
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $41.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $43.73 0 $0.00 $14,275.53 +$704.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 1:00pm ET $47.01 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:30pm ET $47.84 0 $0.00 $14,527.02 +$251.49
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET $47.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET $49.85 0 $0.00 $15,117.87 +$590.85
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET $47.81 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 1:30pm ET $48.53 0 $0.00 $15,345.39 +$227.52
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $45.00 0 $0.00 $16,400.99 +$1,055.60
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.64 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $43.72 0 $0.00 $16,816.59 +$415.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $36.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $39.85 0 $0.00 $18,563.08 +$1,746.49
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $41.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $44.06 0 $0.00 $19,520.93 +$957.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $44.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:40pm ET $44.20 0 $0.00 $19,294.21 $-226.72
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $46.13 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $45.05 0 $0.00 $18,839.09 $-455.12
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $48.35 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET $47.65 0 $0.00 $18,567.37 $-271.72
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:40pm ET $40.31 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $35.91 0 $0.00 $16,542.86 $-2,024.51
(-10.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $37.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $36.90 0 $0.00 $16,374.52 $-168.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET $42.37 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET $43.45 0 $0.00 $16,790.78 +$416.26
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $43.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 2:30pm ET $43.58 0 $0.00 $16,691.20 $-99.58
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.55 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $53.46 0 $0.00 $18,004.96 +$1,313.76
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.94 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $52.06 0 $0.00 $17,377.26 $-627.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.96 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $54.21 0 $0.00 $18,852.01 +$1,474.75
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $55.03 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $59.90 0 $0.00 $20,516.87 +$1,664.86
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $67.25 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $70.22 0 $0.00 $21,422.72 +$905.85
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $72.35 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 0 $0.00 $21,008.32 $-414.40
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $66.45 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $65.13 0 $0.00 $20,589.59 $-418.73
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.41 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $63.28 0 $0.00 $21,216.04 +$626.45
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $64.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $63.27 0 $0.00 $20,889.34 $-326.70
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 400 $20,856.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 400 $19,624.00 $19,657.30 $-1,232.04
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 361 $19,631.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.00 361 $18,772.00 $18,798.12 $-859.18
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $47.56 395 $18,786.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $45.41 395 $17,936.95 $17,948.87 $-849.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 359 $17,941.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 359 $16,916.08 $16,923.93 $-1,024.94
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 309 $16,880.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $52.25 309 $16,145.25 $16,188.51 $-735.42
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $68.78 235 $16,163.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $77.22 235 $18,146.70 $18,171.89 +$1,983.38
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $83.04 218 $18,102.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $93.37 218 $20,354.66 $20,423.83 +$2,251.94
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 207 $20,357.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.87 207 $22,950.09 $23,016.51 +$2,592.68
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 200 $22,948.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $128.51 200 $25,701.80 $25,770.31 +$2,753.80
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
42 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 190 $25,767.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 190 $29,640.00 $29,642.93 +$3,872.62
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
43 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $162.00 182 $29,484.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $186.55 182 $33,952.10 $34,111.03 +$4,468.10
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
44 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.05 187 $34,043.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:15am ET $174.36 187 $32,605.62 $32,673.30 $-1,437.73
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
45 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $162.08 201 $32,578.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $184.00 201 $36,983.98 $37,079.20 +$4,405.90
(+13.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
46 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.87 174 $37,039.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $240.40 174 $41,829.60 $41,869.42 +$4,790.22
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $277.78 150 $41,667.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $259.11 150 $38,866.50 $39,068.92 $-2,800.50
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 186 $39,011.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $197.83 186 $36,796.38 $36,853.66 $-2,215.26
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $194.54 189 $36,768.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $219.08 189 $41,406.12 $41,491.72 +$4,638.06
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $264.52 156 $41,264.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $253.12 156 $39,486.74 $39,714.11 $-1,777.61
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $267.65 148 $39,612.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $300.44 148 $44,465.12 $44,566.29 +$4,852.18
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $265.35 167 $44,312.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $250.84 167 $41,890.28 $42,143.95 $-2,422.34
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $248.73 169 $42,035.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $233.84 169 $39,518.96 $39,627.54 $-2,516.41
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $196.00 202 $39,592.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $168.36 202 $34,008.72 $34,044.26 $-5,583.28
(-14.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $198.08 171 $33,871.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $182.16 171 $31,150.21 $31,322.79 $-2,721.47
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $179.65 174 $31,258.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:10am ET $170.66 174 $29,694.84 $29,758.67 $-1,564.12
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.65 202 $29,624.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET $140.08 202 $28,296.16 $28,430.52 $-1,328.15
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $99.25 286 $28,385.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $94.95 286 $27,155.70 $27,200.72 $-1,229.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
59 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $128.75 211 $27,166.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $123.00 211 $25,953.00 $25,987.47 $-1,213.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $130.47 199 $25,963.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $123.99 199 $24,673.99 $24,698.17 $-1,289.30
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $140.91 175 $24,660.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $134.30 175 $23,502.41 $23,540.46 $-1,157.71
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $147.01 160 $23,522.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $139.66 160 $22,345.60 $22,363.87 $-1,176.59
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $131.39 170 $22,336.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $124.70 170 $21,199.09 $21,226.66 $-1,137.21
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
64 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.90 168 $21,151.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:10am ET $120.45 168 $20,236.27 $20,311.73 $-914.93
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
65 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $119.81 169 $20,247.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET $114.42 169 $19,337.62 $19,401.38 $-910.35
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
66 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $123.49 157 $19,387.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $118.34 157 $18,579.38 $18,593.61 $-807.77
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $111.18 167 $18,567.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.77 167 $21,003.59 $21,030.14 +$2,436.53
(+13.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.43 195 $20,948.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $102.78 195 $20,041.13 $20,122.42 $-907.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $117.22 171 $20,044.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $132.21 171 $22,607.91 $22,685.71 +$2,563.29
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,685.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,685.71
Total Return: +126.86%
Back to Surge PRO