TSLA Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 35 trades in period
-19.02%
Last Year Return
$12,837.88
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$15,852.89
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
24.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 24.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,204
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,852.89
Current Value
$12,837.88
Period P&L
$-3,015.01
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
11 /
24
Best Trade
+6.12%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,789.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,015.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,015.01
Gross Return
-19.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,852.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $440.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $427.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,394.97 |
$-457.92 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 1:55pm ET | $435.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 2:25pm ET | $443.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,645.27 |
+$250.30 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $457.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $452.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,452.34 |
$-192.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:00pm ET | $448.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $440.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,178.20 |
$-274.14 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 2:15pm ET | $439.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $430.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,885.29 |
$-292.91 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $428.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $421.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,623.66 |
$-261.63 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $444.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $439.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,477.42 |
$-146.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $457.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:15pm ET | $450.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,254.99 |
$-222.43 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $465.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:50pm ET | $460.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,103.49 |
$-151.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 2:15pm ET | $452.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $471.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,689.24 |
+$585.75 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $457.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $451.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,519.64 |
$-169.60 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $447.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:55pm ET | $442.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,359.63 |
$-160.01 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $408.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $403.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,197.40 |
$-162.23 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $418.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $423.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,335.51 |
+$138.11 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $441.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $448.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,549.91 |
+$214.40 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $452.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:25pm ET | $447.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,395.99 |
$-153.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $451.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $442.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,107.38 |
$-288.61 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:25pm ET | $480.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $475.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,964.99 |
$-142.39 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $487.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $482.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,803.15 |
$-161.84 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $456.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,666.05 |
$-137.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $435.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $447.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,018.21 |
+$352.16 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $447.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $451.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,126.87 |
+$108.66 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $451.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $447.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,986.29 |
$-140.58 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $425.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $437.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,355.32 |
+$369.03 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $446.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $446.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,364.60 |
+$9.28 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $435.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $430.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,219.23 |
$-145.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $424.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $419.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,064.63 |
$-154.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $413.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $418.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,260.98 |
+$196.35 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $419.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $424.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,443.56 |
+$182.58 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $426.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $422.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,301.00 |
$-142.56 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.89 | 39 | $14,152.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $348.33 | 39 | $13,584.87 | $13,733.16 |
$-567.84 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.84 | 37 | $13,462.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $348.11 | 37 | $12,880.07 | $13,151.15 |
$-582.01 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.77 | 32 | $13,048.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $391.37 | 32 | $12,523.75 | $12,626.26 |
$-524.89 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
29.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.59 | 31 | $12,542.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $387.87 | 31 | $12,023.85 | $12,107.82 |
$-518.44 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.61 | 34 | $11,920.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.08 | 34 | $12,650.72 | $12,837.88 |
+$730.06 (+6.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,837.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,837.88
Total Return:
+28.38%