Compendium › Surge PRO › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 9 trades in period

-11.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$20,416.17
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$23,174.32
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.3/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 54.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 53.2

30-Day Momentum

31
+16.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,174.32
Current Value
$20,416.17
Period P&L
$-2,758.15
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+12.86%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$352,965.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,758.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,758.15
Gross Return
-11.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $23,174.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $170.60 135 $23,030.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 135 $21,772.80 $21,916.79 $-1,257.53
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 131 $21,800.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET $159.45 131 $20,887.95 $21,004.38 $-912.41
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 126 $20,919.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.23 126 $19,558.35 $19,642.95 $-1,361.43
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 112 $19,476.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $166.80 112 $18,681.32 $18,847.47 $-795.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $164.34 114 $18,734.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 114 $17,473.92 $17,586.63 $-1,260.84
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 101 $17,461.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $193.68 101 $19,562.18 $19,687.13 +$2,100.50
(+12.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 106 $19,618.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $177.50 106 $18,815.00 $18,883.65 $-803.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.03 100 $18,803.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 100 $18,017.86 $18,098.51 $-785.14
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 107 $18,016.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $190.04 107 $20,334.32 $20,416.17 +$2,317.66
(+12.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,416.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,416.17
Total Return: +104.16%
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