Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.5/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
8.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 63.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,565.35
Current Value
$25,634.94
Period P&L
$6,069.59
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+12.78%
Worst Trade
-4.10%
Avg Trade Return
+5.91%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,525.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,069.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,069.59
Gross Return
+31.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,565.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 108 $19,470.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $203.32 108 $21,958.56 $22,053.67 +$2,488.32
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 113 $21,995.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $186.83 113 $21,111.79 $21,170.01 $-883.66
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $208.20 101 $21,028.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $199.67 101 $20,166.84 $20,308.54 $-861.47
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 97 $20,176.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $233.27 97 $22,627.67 $22,760.21 +$2,451.67
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 103 $22,558.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $246.92 103 $25,432.76 $25,634.94 +$2,874.73
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,634.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,634.94
Total Return: +156.35%
Back to Surge PRO