Compendium › Surge PRO › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 10 trades in period

-18.78%
Last 3 Months Return
$31,555.46
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$38,849.61
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:20:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
3.3/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 68.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$38,849.61
Current Value
$31,555.46
Period P&L
$-7,294.15
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+12.49%
Worst Trade
-8.56%
Avg Trade Return
-1.84%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$610,442.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-7,294.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-7,294.15
Gross Return
-18.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $38,849.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 31 $38,072.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,138.24 31 $35,285.44 $36,062.55 $-2,787.06
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 35 $35,122.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 35 $32,114.95 $33,055.18 $-3,007.37
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 32 $32,397.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 32 $30,776.96 $31,435.02 $-1,620.16
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 32 $31,286.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET $933.53 32 $29,873.00 $30,021.98 $-1,413.04
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 32 $29,794.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $892.26 32 $28,552.32 $28,779.90 $-1,242.08
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 31 $28,444.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 31 $27,017.58 $27,352.66 $-1,427.24
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 31 $26,713.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET $967.45 31 $29,990.95 $30,629.67 +$3,277.01
(+12.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 30 $30,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 30 $28,717.80 $29,347.47 $-1,282.20
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 31 $29,336.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $905.93 31 $28,083.83 $28,094.45 $-1,253.02
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 29 $27,700.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $1,074.53 29 $31,161.23 $31,555.46 +$3,461.01
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,555.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,555.46
Total Return: +215.55%
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