Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:17:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.8/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 47.8/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 45.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,514.92
Current Value
$20,461.82
Period P&L
$4,946.90
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+13.95%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
+6.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,245.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,946.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,946.90
Gross Return
+31.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,514.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $116.83 132 $15,421.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $131.35 132 $17,338.86 $17,432.22 +$1,917.30
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 132 $17,396.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET $126.42 132 $16,687.44 $16,723.38 $-708.84
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 131 $16,608.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.46 131 $18,924.26 $19,039.46 +$2,316.08
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $160.46 118 $18,934.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.78 118 $21,214.04 $21,319.22 +$2,279.76
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 120 $21,289.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $170.26 120 $20,431.80 $20,461.82 $-857.40
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,461.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,461.82
Total Return: +104.62%
Back to Surge PRO