Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+11.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$44,566.29
Current Value
$22,685.71
Period P&L
$-21,880.58
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
2 / 16
Best Trade
+13.12%
Worst Trade
-14.10%
Avg Trade Return
-3.50%
Avg Hold Time
22.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$964,270.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-21,880.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-21,880.58
Gross Return
-49.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-49.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $44,566.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $265.35 167 $44,312.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $250.84 167 $41,890.28 $42,143.95 $-2,422.34
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $248.73 169 $42,035.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $233.84 169 $39,518.96 $39,627.54 $-2,516.41
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $196.00 202 $39,592.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $168.36 202 $34,008.72 $34,044.26 $-5,583.28
(-14.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $198.08 171 $33,871.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $182.16 171 $31,150.21 $31,322.79 $-2,721.47
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $179.65 174 $31,258.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:10am ET $170.66 174 $29,694.84 $29,758.67 $-1,564.12
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.65 202 $29,624.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET $140.08 202 $28,296.16 $28,430.52 $-1,328.15
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $99.25 286 $28,385.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $94.95 286 $27,155.70 $27,200.72 $-1,229.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $128.75 211 $27,166.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $123.00 211 $25,953.00 $25,987.47 $-1,213.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $130.47 199 $25,963.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $123.99 199 $24,673.99 $24,698.17 $-1,289.30
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $140.91 175 $24,660.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $134.30 175 $23,502.41 $23,540.46 $-1,157.71
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $147.01 160 $23,522.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $139.66 160 $22,345.60 $22,363.87 $-1,176.59
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $131.39 170 $22,336.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $124.70 170 $21,199.09 $21,226.66 $-1,137.21
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.90 168 $21,151.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:10am ET $120.45 168 $20,236.27 $20,311.73 $-914.93
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $119.81 169 $20,247.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET $114.42 169 $19,337.62 $19,401.38 $-910.35
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $123.49 157 $19,387.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $118.34 157 $18,579.38 $18,593.61 $-807.77
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $111.18 167 $18,567.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.77 167 $21,003.59 $21,030.14 +$2,436.53
(+13.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.43 195 $20,948.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $102.78 195 $20,041.13 $20,122.42 $-907.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $117.22 171 $20,044.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $132.21 171 $22,607.91 $22,685.71 +$2,563.29
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,685.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,685.71
Total Return: +126.86%
Back to Surge PRO