Compendium › Surge PRO › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 16 trades in period

+68.41%
Last 6 Months Return
$38,120.16
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$22,634.92
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:08:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.4/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 73.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 71.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$22,634.92
Current Value
$38,120.16
Period P&L
$15,485.24
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+21.43%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
+3.96%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,185,440.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,485.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,485.24
Gross Return
+68.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $22,634.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 110 $21,763.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $225.40 110 $24,793.99 $24,928.95 +$3,030.49
(+13.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 107 $24,863.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 107 $28,347.51 $28,412.87 +$3,483.92
(+14.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 97 $28,253.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 97 $32,672.99 $32,832.68 +$4,419.81
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.48 93 $32,687.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 93 $39,692.40 $39,837.44 +$7,004.76
(+21.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 93 $39,472.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $405.68 93 $37,728.12 $38,093.46 $-1,743.98
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
6 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 81 $38,059.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $530.70 81 $42,986.70 $43,020.69 +$4,927.23
(+12.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $503.45 85 $42,792.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $480.85 85 $40,872.25 $41,100.11 $-1,920.58
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $499.68 82 $40,973.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET $559.98 82 $45,918.36 $46,044.91 +$4,944.80
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $534.90 86 $46,000.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $511.75 86 $44,010.49 $44,054.43 $-1,990.48
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $537.96 81 $43,574.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $515.74 81 $41,775.34 $42,255.01 $-1,799.42
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 81 $41,896.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $496.52 81 $40,218.52 $40,577.10 $-1,677.91
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 79 $40,248.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $485.93 79 $38,388.47 $38,717.04 $-1,860.06
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 76 $38,304.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $482.00 76 $36,632.00 $37,045.04 $-1,672.00
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 75 $36,660.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $468.69 75 $35,151.75 $35,536.79 $-1,508.25
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 74 $35,326.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 74 $33,825.03 $34,035.70 $-1,501.09
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 69 $33,732.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $548.08 69 $37,817.18 $38,120.16 +$4,084.46
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $38,120.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$28,120.16
Total Return: +281.20%
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