Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 34.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,792.14
Current Value
$13,246.11
Period P&L
$-1,546.03
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+15.05%
Worst Trade
-7.78%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
16.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,575.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,546.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,546.03
Gross Return
-10.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $14,792.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $278.51 53 $14,761.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 53 $16,982.52 $17,013.63 +$2,221.49
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 45 $16,826.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 45 $16,928.10 $17,115.33 +$101.70
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $367.74 46 $16,916.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $352.55 46 $16,217.30 $16,416.36 $-698.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $348.39 47 $16,374.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 47 $15,100.63 $15,142.89 $-1,273.47
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $348.39 47 $16,374.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $332.84 47 $15,643.48 $14,412.27 $-730.62
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
31d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $365.46 39 $14,253.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET $350.13 39 $13,655.07 $13,814.21 $-598.06
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 38 $13,555.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $341.78 38 $12,987.64 $13,246.11 $-568.10
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,246.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,246.11
Total Return: +32.46%
Back to Surge PRO