Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:04:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,255.17
Current Value
$14,647.12
Period P&L
$-1,608.05
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+14.64%
Worst Trade
-7.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,654.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,608.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,608.05
Gross Return
-9.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,255.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 225 $16,211.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 225 $15,466.50 $15,510.42 $-744.75
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 217 $15,450.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 217 $14,581.10 $14,641.12 $-869.30
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 190 $14,623.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 190 $13,956.45 $13,974.22 $-666.90
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 185 $13,919.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $84.42 185 $15,617.70 $15,672.52 +$1,698.30
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 173 $15,587.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 173 $14,943.74 $15,028.96 $-643.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.26 174 $15,008.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.89 174 $17,205.99 $17,226.42 +$2,197.46
(+14.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $107.56 160 $17,209.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $99.82 160 $15,971.20 $15,988.02 $-1,238.40
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $105.43 151 $15,919.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $101.16 151 $15,275.16 $15,344.01 $-644.01
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $97.23 157 $15,265.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:50am ET $93.29 157 $14,646.53 $14,725.43 $-618.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 151 $14,644.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 151 $14,020.76 $14,101.68 $-623.75
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $101.05 139 $14,045.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $96.26 139 $13,380.83 $13,436.56 $-665.12
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.44 114 $13,388.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 114 $12,825.00 $12,873.40 $-563.16
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.90 117 $12,858.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.06 117 $14,632.02 $14,647.12 +$1,773.72
(+13.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,647.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,647.12
Total Return: +46.47%
Back to Surge PRO