Compendium › Surge PRO › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 6 trades in period

-12.30%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,990.41
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$11,391.12
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,391.12
Current Value
$9,990.41
Period P&L
$-1,400.71
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+12.73%
Worst Trade
-10.57%
Avg Trade Return
-2.50%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,518.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,400.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,400.71
Gross Return
-12.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,391.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 24 $11,715.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $468.20 24 $11,236.78 $11,259.58 $-478.70
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 23 $10,809.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $450.06 23 $10,351.38 $10,801.19 $-458.39
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $467.84 23 $10,760.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 23 $10,252.25 $10,293.12 $-508.07
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $414.59 24 $9,950.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.58 24 $9,541.92 $9,884.88 $-408.24
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
26.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $400.00 24 $9,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 24 $8,585.28 $8,870.16 $-1,014.72
(-10.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 25 $8,797.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $396.70 25 $9,917.50 $9,990.41 +$1,120.25
(+12.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,990.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-9.59
Total Return: -0.10%
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