Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:33:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,947
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,737.69
Current Value
$9,884.88
Period P&L
$-1,852.81
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.10%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-2.85%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,618.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,852.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,852.81
Gross Return
-15.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,737.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $531.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $525.81 0 $0.00 $11,613.39 $-124.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $492.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $497.94 0 $0.00 $11,738.28 +$124.89
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 24 $11,715.48
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $468.20 24 $11,236.78 $11,259.58 $-478.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 23 $10,809.77
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $450.06 23 $10,351.38 $10,801.19 $-458.39
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $467.84 23 $10,760.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 23 $10,252.25 $10,293.12 $-508.07
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $414.59 24 $9,950.16
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.58 24 $9,541.92 $9,884.88 $-408.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,884.88
Net Profit/Loss: $-115.12
Total Return: -1.15%
Back to Surge PRO