Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.4/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 53.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 51.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-51 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,116.60
Current Value
$22,005.14
Period P&L
$5,888.54
Max Drawdown
-16.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+14.45%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+4.35%
Avg Hold Time
11.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$361,327.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,888.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,888.54
Gross Return
+36.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,116.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 1,041 $16,104.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 1,041 $18,430.90 $18,443.23 +$2,326.63
(+14.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 1,051 $18,434.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $19.80 1,051 $20,809.80 $20,818.49 +$2,375.26
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 1,261 $20,812.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $18.51 1,261 $23,334.93 $23,340.62 +$2,522.13
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 1,348 $23,327.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $19.43 1,348 $26,191.77 $26,205.25 +$2,864.63
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
25d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $17.20 1,523 $26,203.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.39 1,523 $24,966.54 $24,968.57 $-1,236.68
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $18.35 1,360 $24,956.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $17.59 1,360 $23,929.20 $23,941.77 $-1,026.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $18.35 1,360 $24,956.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $17.61 1,360 $23,953.14 $22,938.91 $-1,002.86
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
28.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.29 1,326 $22,925.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.58 1,326 $21,991.71 $22,005.14 $-933.77
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,005.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,005.14
Total Return: +120.05%
Back to Surge PRO