Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,301.00
Current Value
$12,837.88
Period P&L
$-1,463.12
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+6.12%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
-2.07%
Avg Hold Time
13.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,789.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,463.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,463.12
Gross Return
-10.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $14,301.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $362.89 39 $14,152.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $348.33 39 $13,584.87 $13,733.16 $-567.84
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 37 $13,462.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $348.11 37 $12,880.07 $13,151.15 $-582.01
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $407.77 32 $13,048.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $391.37 32 $12,523.75 $12,626.26 $-524.89
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $404.59 31 $12,542.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $387.87 31 $12,023.85 $12,107.82 $-518.44
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $350.61 34 $11,920.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $372.08 34 $12,650.72 $12,837.88 +$730.06
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,837.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,837.88
Total Return: +28.38%
Back to Surge PRO