Compendium › Surge PRO › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 23 trades in period

+10.62%
Year to Date Return
$20,416.17
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$18,455.79
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.3/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 54.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 53.2

30-Day Momentum

31
+16.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,006
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,455.79
Current Value
$20,416.17
Period P&L
$1,960.38
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
8 / 15
Best Trade
+13.81%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,630.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,960.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,960.38
Gross Return
+10.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,455.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $236.54 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $254.11 0 $0.00 $19,826.25 +$1,370.46
(+7.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $255.85 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $252.62 0 $0.00 $19,577.16 $-249.09
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $244.67 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:30am ET $251.43 0 $0.00 $20,117.96 +$540.80
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $252.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $260.09 0 $0.00 $20,705.72 +$587.76
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $241.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $228.95 0 $0.00 $19,668.29 $-1,037.43
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $162.68 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $161.01 0 $0.00 $19,467.41 $-200.88
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $166.66 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $164.85 0 $0.00 $19,258.03 $-209.38
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.25 94 $19,199.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $195.57 94 $18,383.58 $18,442.11 $-815.92
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 90 $18,331.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $195.29 90 $17,576.10 $17,687.01 $-755.10
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 107 $17,596.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 107 $19,788.58 $19,879.44 +$2,192.43
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 110 $19,828.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 110 $22,567.60 $22,618.44 +$2,739.00
(+13.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $204.18 110 $22,459.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 110 $21,435.15 $21,593.79 $-1,024.65
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.50 112 $21,559.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $182.99 112 $20,495.44 $20,529.43 $-1,064.36
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $155.72 131 $20,399.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $175.91 131 $23,044.21 $23,174.32 +$2,644.89
(+13.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $170.60 135 $23,030.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 135 $21,772.80 $21,916.79 $-1,257.53
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 131 $21,800.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET $159.45 131 $20,887.95 $21,004.38 $-912.41
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 126 $20,919.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.23 126 $19,558.35 $19,642.95 $-1,361.43
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 112 $19,476.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $166.80 112 $18,681.32 $18,847.47 $-795.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $164.34 114 $18,734.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 114 $17,473.92 $17,586.63 $-1,260.84
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 101 $17,461.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $193.68 101 $19,562.18 $19,687.13 +$2,100.50
(+12.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 106 $19,618.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $177.50 106 $18,815.00 $18,883.65 $-803.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.03 100 $18,803.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 100 $18,017.86 $18,098.51 $-785.14
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 107 $18,016.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $190.04 107 $20,334.32 $20,416.17 +$2,317.66
(+12.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,416.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,416.17
Total Return: +104.16%
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