Compendium › Surge PRO › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+114.09%
Year to Date Return
$25,634.94
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,973.65
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.5/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
8.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 63.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,973.65
Current Value
$25,634.94
Period P&L
$13,661.29
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+17.94%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+4.86%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,726.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,661.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,661.29
Gross Return
+114.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+114.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,973.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $459.68 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $474.51 0 $0.00 $12,359.10 +$385.45
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $484.91 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $479.48 0 $0.00 $12,223.35 $-135.75
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET $467.96 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET $462.40 0 $0.00 $12,078.77 $-144.58
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $468.41 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $483.00 0 $0.00 $12,443.65 +$364.88
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $416.30 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $406.54 0 $0.00 $12,160.32 $-283.33
(-2.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $405.54 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET $415.91 0 $0.00 $12,461.20 +$300.88
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $417.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $412.06 0 $0.00 $12,310.54 $-150.66
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 27 $12,029.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $427.16 27 $11,533.32 $11,814.01 $-496.53
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $379.57 31 $11,766.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $447.65 31 $13,877.15 $13,924.49 +$2,110.48
(+17.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $408.34 34 $13,883.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $457.74 34 $15,563.16 $15,604.09 +$1,679.60
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $453.57 34 $15,421.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:15am ET $508.33 34 $17,283.39 $17,466.10 +$1,862.01
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 25 $17,371.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $778.84 25 $19,471.00 $19,565.35 +$2,099.25
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 108 $19,470.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $203.32 108 $21,958.56 $22,053.67 +$2,488.32
(+12.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 113 $21,995.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $186.83 113 $21,111.79 $21,170.01 $-883.66
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $208.20 101 $21,028.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $199.67 101 $20,166.84 $20,308.54 $-861.47
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 97 $20,176.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $233.27 97 $22,627.67 $22,760.21 +$2,451.67
(+12.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 103 $22,558.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $246.92 103 $25,432.76 $25,634.94 +$2,874.73
(+12.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,634.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,634.94
Total Return: +156.35%
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