Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,371.44
Current Value
$9,990.41
Period P&L
$-1,381.03
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+12.73%
Worst Trade
-10.57%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,518.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,381.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,381.03
Gross Return
-12.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,371.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $566.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $586.12 0 $0.00 $11,756.04 +$384.60
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $589.92 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $595.58 0 $0.00 $11,863.44 +$107.40
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $531.13 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $525.41 0 $0.00 $11,737.69 $-125.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $531.46 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $525.81 0 $0.00 $11,613.39 $-124.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $492.51 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $497.94 0 $0.00 $11,738.28 +$124.89
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 24 $11,715.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $468.20 24 $11,236.78 $11,259.58 $-478.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 23 $10,809.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $450.06 23 $10,351.38 $10,801.19 $-458.39
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $467.84 23 $10,760.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 23 $10,252.25 $10,293.12 $-508.07
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $414.59 24 $9,950.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.58 24 $9,541.92 $9,884.88 $-408.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $400.00 24 $9,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 24 $8,585.28 $8,870.16 $-1,014.72
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 25 $8,797.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $396.70 25 $9,917.50 $9,990.41 +$1,120.25
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,990.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-9.59
Total Return: -0.10%
Back to Surge PRO