MU Surge PRO's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+69.84%
Year to Date Return
$31,555.46
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$18,579.18
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
3.3/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
68.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 68.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$18,579.18
Current Value
$31,555.46
Period P&L
$12,976.28
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
15 /
15
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,260,443.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,976.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,976.28
Gross Return
+69.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+69.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,579.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $309.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $317.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,079.58 |
+$500.40 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $335.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $344.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,570.68 |
+$491.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $341.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $344.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,774.40 |
+$203.72 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $383.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $392.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,263.49 |
+$489.09 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $414.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $427.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,913.89 |
+$650.40 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $437.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $433.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,696.04 |
$-217.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $442.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $437.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,476.78 |
$-219.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $395.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $383.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,832.27 |
$-644.51 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $411.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $429.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,660.99 |
+$828.72 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 46 | $20,540.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 46 | $19,504.00 | $19,624.15 |
$-1,036.84 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 56 | $19,503.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 56 | $23,194.36 | $23,314.83 |
+$3,690.68 (+18.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 53 | $23,108.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $489.45 | 53 | $25,940.59 | $26,147.42 |
+$2,832.59 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.80 | 52 | $25,781.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $558.87 | 52 | $29,061.24 | $29,427.06 |
+$3,279.64 (+12.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 48 | $29,249.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $692.23 | 48 | $33,226.83 | $33,404.13 |
+$3,977.07 (+13.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $811.00 | 41 | $33,251.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 41 | $30,002.16 | $30,155.21 |
$-3,248.92 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $732.61 | 41 | $30,037.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $822.46 | 41 | $33,720.86 | $33,838.86 |
+$3,683.65 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.96 | 35 | $33,458.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $914.05 | 35 | $31,991.92 | $32,372.18 |
$-1,466.68 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $956.39 | 33 | $31,560.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,073.82 | 33 | $35,436.06 | $36,247.37 |
+$3,875.19 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 38 | $35,653.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $889.70 | 38 | $33,808.60 | $34,402.09 |
$-1,845.28 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.02 | 32 | $33,760.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,194.01 | 32 | $38,208.16 | $38,849.61 |
+$4,447.52 (+13.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 31 | $38,072.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,138.24 | 31 | $35,285.44 | $36,062.55 |
$-2,787.06 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.49 | 35 | $35,122.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 35 | $32,114.95 | $33,055.18 |
$-3,007.37 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 32 | $32,397.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 32 | $30,776.96 | $31,435.02 |
$-1,620.16 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $977.69 | 32 | $31,286.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $933.53 | 32 | $29,873.00 | $30,021.98 |
$-1,413.04 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.08 | 32 | $29,794.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $892.26 | 32 | $28,552.32 | $28,779.90 |
$-1,242.08 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.58 | 31 | $28,444.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $871.53 | 31 | $27,017.58 | $27,352.66 |
$-1,427.24 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $861.74 | 31 | $26,713.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $967.45 | 31 | $29,990.95 | $30,629.67 |
+$3,277.01 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,000.00 | 30 | $30,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.26 | 30 | $28,717.80 | $29,347.47 |
$-1,282.20 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $946.35 | 31 | $29,336.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $905.93 | 31 | $28,083.83 | $28,094.45 |
$-1,253.02 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.18 | 29 | $27,700.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,074.53 | 29 | $31,161.23 | $31,555.46 |
+$3,461.01 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$31,555.46
Net Profit/Loss:
+$21,555.46
Total Return:
+215.55%