TQQQ Torque's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 46 trades in period
-4.29%
Last Year Return
$10,881.02
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$11,369.23
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
17.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 17.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,082
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,369.23
Current Value
$10,881.02
Period P&L
$-488.21
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
16 /
30
Best Trade
+15.30%
Worst Trade
-8.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$561,275.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-488.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-488.21
Gross Return
-4.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $11,369.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $51.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 11:05am ET | $51.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,375.80 |
+$6.57 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $50.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,375.80 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $52.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:15am ET | $52.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,322.34 |
$-53.46 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $53.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,470.72 |
+$148.38 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $55.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,441.60 |
$-29.12 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:15pm ET | $57.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,546.63 |
+$105.03 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:35am ET | $59.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,467.09 |
$-79.54 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $59.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,283.25 |
$-183.84 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $55.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,222.86 |
$-60.39 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $52.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $52.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,286.23 |
+$63.37 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $50.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,190.09 |
$-96.14 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:55am ET | $52.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,155.42 |
$-34.67 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET | $47.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $47.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,150.70 |
$-4.72 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:55pm ET | $53.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,278.28 |
+$127.58 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $55.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $55.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,271.15 |
$-7.13 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $56.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $56.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,190.33 |
$-80.82 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $52.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,294.42 |
+$104.09 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $52.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,314.11 |
+$19.69 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,088.27 |
$-225.84 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,010.27 |
$-78.00 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $51.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,913.65 |
$-96.62 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $55.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $55.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,905.93 |
$-7.72 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $48.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $48.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,862.25 |
$-43.68 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $48.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,827.02 |
$-35.23 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $48.69 | 222 | $10,809.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $46.03 | 222 | $10,217.55 | $10,234.64 |
$-592.38 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.75 | 209 | $10,189.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $46.28 | 209 | $9,673.56 | $9,718.45 |
$-516.19 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.06 | 215 | $9,687.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $42.71 | 215 | $9,182.33 | $9,212.88 |
$-505.57 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.25 | 234 | $9,184.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $43.22 | 234 | $10,114.65 | $10,143.03 |
+$930.15 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $43.18 | 234 | $10,104.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 234 | $11,407.50 | $11,446.41 |
+$1,303.38 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.65 | 221 | $11,413.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $56.86 | 221 | $12,566.06 | $12,598.93 |
+$1,152.52 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.96 | 206 | $12,557.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.12 | 206 | $13,826.72 | $13,867.91 |
+$1,268.98 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $69.72 | 198 | $13,805.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.75 | 198 | $15,195.95 | $15,258.31 |
+$1,390.40 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.68 | 201 | $15,211.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.51 | 201 | $14,374.51 | $14,421.14 |
$-837.17 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.52 | 183 | $14,369.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $86.41 | 183 | $15,813.03 | $15,865.01 |
+$1,443.87 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.69 | 206 | $15,797.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.82 | 206 | $14,794.92 | $14,862.30 |
$-1,002.71 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.88 | 206 | $14,807.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.88 | 206 | $17,073.28 | $17,128.30 |
+$2,266.00 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.97 | 208 | $17,049.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.96 | 208 | $15,591.68 | $15,670.22 |
$-1,458.08 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.02 | 200 | $15,604.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $71.75 | 200 | $14,349.00 | $14,415.22 |
$-1,255.00 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.02 | 200 | $15,604.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.53 | 200 | $14,706.00 | $13,517.22 |
$-898.00 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.74 | 180 | $13,453.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $70.93 | 180 | $12,768.30 | $12,832.32 |
$-684.90 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 183 | $12,829.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $66.56 | 183 | $12,179.57 | $12,182.67 |
$-649.65 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.70 | 185 | $12,154.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $62.39 | 185 | $11,542.15 | $11,570.32 |
$-612.35 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $61.89 | 186 | $11,511.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $58.74 | 186 | $10,924.71 | $10,983.68 |
$-586.64 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.56 | 167 | $10,948.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $72.26 | 167 | $12,068.25 | $12,103.42 |
+$1,119.74 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.16 | 163 | $12,088.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.33 | 163 | $11,463.79 | $11,479.13 |
$-624.29 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.99 | 161 | $11,429.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $67.28 | 161 | $10,831.28 | $10,881.02 |
$-598.11 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,881.02
Net Profit/Loss:
+$881.02
Total Return:
+8.81%